Stock fact sheet · data as of
Toyota Motor Corporation ADRhedged (TMH): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Financial Services · Asset Management · United States · High Growth
Is TMH undervalued?
Toyota Motor Corporation ADRhedged (TMH) closed at 49.78 on 16 Oct 2026, 12% above the GLS average fair value of 44.36. Only 4 of the 9 models that produced a number value the shares above the current price. The margin of safety is negative, so the stock fails the "below fair value" rule of the Sunday Scan; a premium of this size is common for companies whose growth the models are conservative about.
There is a wide gap between Lynch (6.99) and DDM (117.76). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files TMH under High Growth: revenue and earnings growing fast enough that the growth-based models carry the valuation.
Nine valuation models for TMH
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 44.29 | -11% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 15.17 | -70% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 23.21 | -53% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 6.99 | -86% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 70.24 | +41% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 51.07 | +3% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 57.75 | +16% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 117.76 | +137% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 12.75 | -74% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -34.12 | -169% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Toyota Motor Corporation ADRhedged scores only 4 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. A GLS Moat score of 3.1/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 2.7%, ROE 12.9%, ROA 2.0% - with debt at 3.74 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 2.9%. Debt of 3.74 times equity is on the high side for the sector and is worth checking against the cash flow before treating the stock as a long-term hold.
The dividend yield is high at 16.08% (payout ratio 0%). A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual. Revenue comes mainly from Hospital Based Services 78%, IPC Acquisition 16%, Specialty Services 4% (quarter Q3 FY2016).
Institutional ownership scores 3/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 4 / 9 | ROIC | 2.7% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 3.1 / 10 | ROE | 12.9% |
| Debt / equity | 3.74 | ROA | 2.0% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 2.9% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 3 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 51: Fair
A Wheel Score of 51 puts Toyota Motor Corporation ADRhedged in the Fair band - below the 70 the Sunday Scan requires. Value 7/25, Health 9/20, Moat 5/15, Premium 20/20 and Stability 10/20; the weakest part is Value (7/25).
Implied volatility is 37% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is thin - 2 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 0k shares a day on a market cap of $3.7B, with a beta of -0.04 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 10 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 7 / 25 | -12% margin of safety | |
| Health | 9 / 20 | Piotroski 4/9 | |
| Moat | 5 / 15 | moat 3.1/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 37% | |
| Stability | 10 / 20 | 0k shares/day, $3.7B cap, beta -0.04 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for TMH in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Asset Management
The 12 companies below are the closest to Toyota Motor Corporation ADRhedged by market cap within the Asset Management industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMTAX JPMorgan SmartRetirement 2040 Fund Class A | 25.21 | 5,400.79 | +100% | 39No options | $3.7B |
| AQMIX AQR Managed Futures Strategy Fund | 11.21 | 2.39 | -369% | 30No options | $3.7B |
| JOBBX JPMorgan SmartRetirement Blend 2040 Fund Class R5 | 39.72 | 26.89 | -48% | 17No options | $3.8B |
| CNS Cohen & Steers, Inc. | 68.98 | 47.18 | -46% | 51Fair | $3.5B |
| SCSCX Touchstone Large Cap Focused Fund Class C | 80.08 | 41.65 | -92% | 23No options | $3.5B |
| PRFRX T. Rowe Price Floating Rate Fund, Inc. | 9.01 | 4.63 | -95% | 30No options | $4.0B |
| EAPCX Parametric Commodity Strategy Fund | 8.19 | 8.42 | +3% | 39No options | $3.3B |
| ARTYX Artisan Developing World Fund - Investor Shares | 23.06 | - | - | 37No options | $4.1B |
| AAMI Acadian Asset Management | 92.81 | 62.56 | -48% | 56Fair | $3.3B |
| FGADX Franklin Gold and Precious Metals Adv | 50.54 | 12.72 | -297% | 24No options | $3.3B |
| TCLNX Nuveen Lifecycle 2030 Fund Retirement | 17.25 | 11.42 | -51% | 25No options | $4.2B |
| UTG Reaves Utility Income Fund | 35.42 | 253.85 | +86% | 39No options | $3.2B |
⚖ Compare TMH with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about TMH
Is TMH undervalued right now?
No: at 49.78 the stock trades 12% above the GLS average fair value of 44.36 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). The margin of safety is negative.
What is the Wheel Score of TMH and what does it mean?
TMH scores 51 out of 100 (Fair). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for TMH?
44.36 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Toyota Motor Corporation ADRhedged report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for TMH in our calendar as of 16 Oct 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does TMH have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 254 listed contracts with 2 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 37% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.