Stock fact sheet · data as of
XBP Global Holdings, Inc. (XBP): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol XBP · Technology · Software - Infrastructure · United States · Speculative
Is XBP undervalued?
XBP has a margin of safety of 100%: the stock closed at 3.02 on 5 Nov 2026 against a GLS average fair value of 2,404.02. 6 of the 6 valuation models that produced a number sit above the price. Our scans treat a discount this large as a strong starting point for a cash-secured put, not as a verdict - the fair value is a model output, and a wide gap can mean the models are missing something the market knows.
The 6 models disagree widely: DCF gives 73.70 while GLS Growth gives 5,649.28. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files XBP under Speculative - it is losing money or its Piotroski health score is 3 or lower - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for XBP
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 73.70 | +2340% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 90.56 | +2899% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 5,278.32 | +174679% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 2,306.96 | +76289% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 5,649.28 | +186962% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 1,025.31 | +33851% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -48.86 | -1718% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 5.00 | +66% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is weak: XBP passes 3 of the nine Piotroski tests. Our scans drop the stock at the health filter; a low score is often the reason a stock looks cheap on the valuation models. The GLS Moat score is low at 3.1 out of 10: returns on capital, margins or the balance sheet have not shown a lasting edge yet - often a young company, a thin-margin business or one that has only recently turned profitable.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 212.8%, ROE 1263.5%, ROA 122.3% - with debt at 4.94 times equity and negative free cash flow. Debt of 4.94 times equity is on the high side for the sector and is worth checking against the cash flow before treating the stock as a long-term hold.
XBP Global Holdings, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Technology 100% (quarter Q4 FY2025).
Institutional ownership scores 6/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded insider buy was on 15 Sep 2026.
| Piotroski F-score | 3 / 9 | ROIC | 212.8% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 3.1 / 10 | ROE | 1263.5% |
| Debt / equity | 4.94 | ROA | 122.3% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -482.8% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 6 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 10 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 27: No options
XBP has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business. It fails the first Wheel Trade Filter (options that actually trade), so the score stays under 70 and is shown as "No options" (27 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.
Volume runs at 0k shares a day on a market cap of $36M, with a beta of -0.46 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that fair.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Fails | no listed options |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Fails | speculative (a loss, or a weak Piotroski score) |
| 3 | Below fair value | Passes | Trading below the nine-model average fair value (margin of safety above 0) |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Fails | Piotroski 3/9 (under 6) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Fails | debt with no positive cash flow to repay it |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Fails | no implied volatility |
| 8 | Big enough | Fails | market cap $36M (under $1.0B) |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Fails | price 3.02 (under $5) |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Strong | 100% below fair value | |
| Premium | Weak | no option data | |
| Moat | Weak | moat 3.1/10 | |
| Health | Weak | Piotroski 3/9 | |
| Red Flags | Fair | not scored yet - half marks | |
| Option trading | Weak | no option volume data | |
| Stability | Fair | beta -0.46, $36M company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
XBP Global Holdings, Inc. reports earnings on 12 Nov 2026 (before the open) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Software - Infrastructure
The 12 companies below are the closest to XBP Global Holdings, Inc. by market cap within the Software - Infrastructure industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVX Avax One Technology Ltd | 4.61 | 12.32 | +63% | 29No options | $34M |
| SKKY Skkynet Cloud Systems, Inc. | 0.6980 | 0.1079 | -547% | 12No options | $37M |
| GOAI Eva Live, Inc. | 0.8095 | - | - | 9No options | $33M |
| AIFC AI Financial Corporation | 0.2268 | 0.6125 | +63% | 22Weak | $32M |
| VHC VirnetX Holding Corp | 9.65 | 3.83 | -152% | 9No options | $40M |
| BNAI Brand Engagement Network, Inc. | 4.46 | - | - | 14No options | $30M |
| MLGO MicroAlgo Inc. | 2.63 | 11.57 | +77% | 27No options | $29M |
| XNET Xunlei Limited | 3.52 | 148.60 | +98% | 32Weak | $45M |
| SLMT Solmate Infrastructure PLC | 3.25 | - | - | 11No options | $27M |
| LIDR AEye, Inc. | 1.01 | 1.06 | +5% | 10No options | $47M |
| AIFA All In FutureTech Alliance Inc. | 3.91 | - | - | 10No options | $25M |
| ORIO Orion Digital Corp. | 1.02 | 8.13 | +87% | 25Weak | $24M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about XBP
Is XBP undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 3.02 the stock is 100% below the average fair value of 2,404.02 (data as of 5 Nov 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of XBP and what does it mean?
XBP has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; it fails the first Wheel Trade Filter (options that actually trade), stays under 70 and is shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for XBP?
2,404.02 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 6 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does XBP Global Holdings, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 12 Nov 2026 (before the open), 7 days from the data date of 5 Nov 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does XBP have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on XBP, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score stays under 70.