Stock fact sheet · data as of
Porch Group, Inc. (PRCH): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol PRCH · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty · United States · Growth
Is PRCH undervalued?
PRCH closed at 21.56 on 5 Nov 2026, more than 30% above the GLS average fair value of 10.05. Only 1 of the 7 models that produced a value sit above the price. By our models the shares are priced well beyond what the filed earnings, cash flow and book value support; the "below fair value" Wheel Trade Filter keeps names like this under 70.
There is a wide gap between Graham Number (0.4327) and 10 Cap (38.15). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
Ranked against every other company we cover, PRCH is clearly faster-growing than it is cheap, so the nightly engine files it under Growth (value score 5, growth score 73, out of 100).
Nine valuation models for PRCH
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | 0.4327 | -98% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 7.16 | -67% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 3.13 | -85% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 7.67 | -64% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 38.15 | +77% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 12.40 | -42% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 1.39 | -94% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -6.01 | -128% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 23.33 | +8% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Porch Group, Inc. scores 6 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that passes the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. A GLS Moat score of 1.4/10 is a weak reading: the accounts do not show returns and margins that competitors have been unable to wear down, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 4.2%, ROE -62.2%, ROA 1.9% - with debt at -15.96 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 4.1%.
Porch Group, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Recurring 93%, Transactional 7% (quarter Q3 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 6 / 9 | ROIC | 4.2% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 1.4 / 10 | ROE | -62.2% |
| Debt / equity | -15.96 | ROA | 1.9% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 4.1% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 29: Weak
With a Wheel Score of 29 Porch Group, Inc. sits in the Weak band. It fails filter 3, below fair value - trades 115% above our fair value; Value (weak) is its weakest part.
Implied volatility is 60% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% sweet spot the Wheel Score rewards most: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is 22,190 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 1.9M shares a day on a market cap of $2.5B, with a beta of 3.15 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that weak.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Passes | Listed options with 1,000+ contracts of open interest and 100+ traded a day |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Passes | Profitable over the last twelve months - not a speculative stock, fund or note |
| 3 | Below fair value | Fails | trades 115% above our fair value |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Passes | Piotroski F-score 6 or more out of 9 (a company with no score on file passes) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Passes | Implied volatility 25-80% (enough premium, not a lottery ticket) |
| 8 | Big enough | Passes | Market cap $1 billion or more |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Weak | 115% above fair value | |
| Premium | Strong | implied volatility 60% | |
| Moat | Weak | moat 1.4/10 | |
| Health | Good | Piotroski 6/9 | |
| Red Flags | Good | Red Flags score 80/100 | |
| Option trading | Fair | 450 contracts a day, 22,190 open interest | |
| Stability | Weak | beta 3.15, $2.5B company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for PRCH in the nightly calendar.
No analyst upgrades or downgrades were recorded in the last 30 days.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Insurance - Property & Casualty
The 12 companies below are the closest to Porch Group, Inc. by market cap within the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HCI HCI Group, Inc. | 201.56 | 614.96 | +67% | 83Good | $2.5B |
| AFSIA AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. | 13.10 | 1,681,551.45 | +100% | 33No options | $2.6B |
| SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. | 62.22 | 171.03 | +64% | 46Weak | $2.8B |
| AFSIB AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. | 14.25 | 1,681,551.45 | +100% | 32No options | $2.8B |
| KMPR Kemper Corporation | 35.76 | 89.68 | +60% | 39Weak | $2.1B |
| AFSIN AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. | 12.90 | 1,681,550.85 | +100% | 32No options | $2.9B |
| AFSIP AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. | 14.05 | 1,681,551.15 | +100% | 32No options | $3.0B |
| AFSIC AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. | 15.00 | 1,681,551.45 | +100% | 33No options | $3.0B |
| AFFT AmTrust Financial Services Inc 7.5 % Notes 2015-15.9.55 | 15.30 | 1,681,551.52 | +100% | 26No options | $3.0B |
| HMN Horace Mann Educators Corporation | 50.20 | 153.58 | +67% | 45Weak | $2.0B |
| AFFS AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. | 15.20 | 1,681,551.45 | +100% | 34No options | $3.0B |
| AFSIM AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. | 14.70 | 1,681,551.22 | +100% | 33No options | $3.1B |
⚖ Compare PRCH with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about PRCH
Is PRCH undervalued right now?
No: at 21.56 the stock trades 115% above the GLS average fair value of 10.05 (data as of 5 Nov 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of PRCH and what does it mean?
PRCH scores 29 out of 100 (Weak) - it fails Wheel Trade Filter 3. The Wheel Score ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned - in two parts: the 9 pass/fail Wheel Trade Filters (busy options, a real business, below fair value, Piotroski 6 or more, debt it can repay, a Red Flags score of 60 or more, implied volatility of 25-80%, a $1 billion company, $5 a share) and a ranking of how strongly a stock passes on value, premium, moat, health, red flags, option trading and stability. A stock that fails any filter stays under 70; 70-84 is Good, 85 and above is Prime. The Sunday Scan is the top 10 that pass, sorted by Wheel Score.
What is the GLS fair value for PRCH?
10.05 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 7 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Porch Group, Inc. report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for PRCH in our calendar as of 5 Nov 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does PRCH have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 36 listed contracts with 22,190 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 60% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.