Stock fact sheet · data as of
Aura Minerals (AUGO): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol AUGO · Basic Materials · Gold · United States · Growth
Is AUGO undervalued?
Aura Minerals (AUGO) closed at 72.39 on 5 Nov 2026, close to the GLS average fair value of 72.58 (exactly at fair value). 4 of the 8 models that produced a number sit above the price, 4 below - the market and our models roughly agree. With little margin of safety either way, the case for or against the stock rests on the quality numbers and the option premium rather than on price.
The 8 models disagree widely: Graham Number gives 20.89 while GLS Growth gives 149.01. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
Ranked against every other company we cover, AUGO is clearly faster-growing than it is cheap, so the nightly engine files it under Growth (value score 26, growth score 79, out of 100).
Nine valuation models for AUGO
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | 20.89 | -71% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 120.44 | +66% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 46.45 | -36% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 149.01 | +106% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 92.22 | +27% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 73.21 | +1% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 38.85 | -46% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 39.59 | -45% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -9.92 | -114% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 112.35 | +55% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - AUGO passes 6 of the nine Piotroski tests, which passes the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is 7.2 out of 10: a record that is solid on some of the four parts the score weighs (returns on capital, pricing power, lasting growth, balance sheet) and weaker on others.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -11.7%, ROE -29.9%, ROA -4.9% - with debt at 1.55 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 2.9%.
The dividend yield is 3.65% at a payout ratio of 63%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold.
Institutional ownership scores 4/10, insider activity 4/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded insider buy was on 29 Sep 2026.
| Piotroski F-score | 6 / 9 | ROIC | -11.7% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 7.2 / 10 | ROE | -29.9% |
| Debt / equity | 1.55 | ROA | -4.9% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 2.9% | Payout ratio | 63% |
| Institutions | 4 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 4 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 31: Weak
AUGO scores 31 out of 100 on the Wheel Score, in the Weak band (under 50): it fails filter 6, no serious red flags - Red Flags score 52 (under 60), and the parts are thin too - value weak, premium strong, moat good, health good, red flags weak, option trading weak, stability good. The score is not a judgement on the company; it says the price, quality and premium do not line up for selling puts on it today.
Implied volatility is 69% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% top of the sweet spot. It still passes the 25-80% filter, but the Wheel Score rewards it less because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. Chain open interest is thin - 1,701 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 977k shares a day on a market cap of $6.1B, with a beta of 0.32 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that good.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Passes | Listed options with 1,000+ contracts of open interest and 100+ traded a day |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Passes | Profitable over the last twelve months - not a speculative stock, fund or note |
| 3 | Below fair value | Passes | Trading below the nine-model average fair value (margin of safety above 0) |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Passes | Piotroski F-score 6 or more out of 9 (a company with no score on file passes) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Fails | Red Flags score 52 (under 60) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Passes | Implied volatility 25-80% (enough premium, not a lottery ticket) |
| 8 | Big enough | Passes | Market cap $1 billion or more |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Weak | 0% below fair value | |
| Premium | Strong | implied volatility 69% | |
| Moat | Good | moat 7.2/10 | |
| Health | Good | Piotroski 6/9 | |
| Red Flags | Weak | Red Flags score 52/100 | |
| Option trading | Weak | 452 contracts a day, 1,701 open interest | |
| Stability | Good | beta 0.32, $6.1B company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Aura Minerals reports earnings on 5 Nov 2026 (after the close) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
No analyst upgrades or downgrades were recorded in the last 30 days.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Gold
The 12 companies below are the closest to Aura Minerals by market cap within the Gold industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSRM SSR Mining Inc. | 28.15 | 26.66 | -6% | 39Weak | $5.7B |
| OGC OceanaGold Corporation | 25.78 | 40.42 | +36% | 46Weak | $5.7B |
| OR OR Royalties Inc. | 34.50 | 33.79 | -2% | 39Weak | $6.5B |
| BTG B2Gold Corp. | 5.11 | 7.24 | +29% | 83Good | $6.8B |
| EGO Eldorado Gold Corporation | 33.54 | 66.63 | +50% | 52Fair | $8.8B |
| CGAU Centerra Gold Inc. | 21.41 | 35.39 | +39% | 80Good | $4.2B |
| IAG Iamgold Corporation | 17.47 | 54.47 | +68% | 82Good | $10.0B |
| HMY Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited | 16.41 | 46.62 | +65% | 85Prime | $10.3B |
| ARIS Aris Mining Corporation | 15.72 | 36.71 | +57% | 80Good | $3.2B |
| AGI Alamos Gold Inc. | 30.00 | 55.98 | +46% | 83Good | $12.6B |
| AAUC Allied Gold Corporation | 20.41 | 37.45 | +46% | 31No options | $2.8B |
| FSM Fortuna Mining Corp. | 9.59 | 36.78 | +74% | 77Good | $2.8B |
Scan the whole market the same way
A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the top 10 stocks that pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about AUGO
Is AUGO undervalued right now?
Not meaningfully: at 72.39 the stock trades within a few percent of the GLS average fair value of 72.58 (exactly at fair value, data as of 5 Nov 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of AUGO and what does it mean?
AUGO scores 31 out of 100 (Weak) - it fails Wheel Trade Filter 6. The Wheel Score ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned - in two parts: the 9 pass/fail Wheel Trade Filters (busy options, a real business, below fair value, Piotroski 6 or more, debt it can repay, a Red Flags score of 60 or more, implied volatility of 25-80%, a $1 billion company, $5 a share) and a ranking of how strongly a stock passes on value, premium, moat, health, red flags, option trading and stability. A stock that fails any filter stays under 70; 70-84 is Good, 85 and above is Prime. The Sunday Scan is the top 10 that pass, sorted by Wheel Score.
What is the GLS fair value for AUGO?
72.58 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Aura Minerals report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 5 Nov 2026 (after the close), 0 days from the data date of 5 Nov 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does AUGO have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 38 listed contracts with 1,701 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 69% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.