Stock fact sheet · data as of
Aura Minerals (AUGO): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Basic Materials · Gold · United States · High Growth
Is AUGO undervalued?
Aura Minerals (AUGO) closed at 85.47 on 16 Oct 2026, 17% above the GLS average fair value of 72.88. Only 3 of the 8 models that produced a number value the shares above the current price. The margin of safety is negative, so the stock fails the "below fair value" rule of the Sunday Scan; a premium of this size is common for companies whose growth the models are conservative about.
The 8 models disagree widely: Graham Number gives 20.89 while GLS Growth gives 147.91. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files AUGO under High Growth: revenue and earnings growing fast enough that the growth-based models carry the valuation.
Nine valuation models for AUGO
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | 20.89 | -76% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 122.89 | +44% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 47.70 | -44% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 147.91 | +73% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 92.22 | +8% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 73.04 | -15% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 38.85 | -55% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 39.59 | -54% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -9.92 | -112% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 112.35 | +31% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - AUGO passes 6 of the nine Piotroski tests, which passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is 6.2 out of 10: a ten-year record that is consistent in some of the metrics the score tracks (revenue, earnings, margins, cash flow, returns on capital) and patchy in others.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -11.7%, ROE -29.9%, ROA -4.9% - with debt at 1.55 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 2.5%.
The dividend yield is 3.09% at a payout ratio of 63%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold.
Institutional ownership scores 4/10, insider activity 4/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded insider buy was on 23 Sep 2026.
| Piotroski F-score | 6 / 9 | ROIC | -11.7% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 6.2 / 10 | ROE | -29.9% |
| Debt / equity | 1.55 | ROA | -4.9% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 2.5% | Payout ratio | 63% |
| Institutions | 4 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 4 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 62: Fair
AUGO scores 62 out of 100 on the Wheel Score (Fair band, 50-64): a usable but unremarkable fit for the wheel strategy. The parts: Value 5/25, Health 13/20, Moat 9/15, Premium 17/20, Stability 16/20. Value (5/25) is where the points are missing.
Implied volatility is 70% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% ceiling of the sweet spot. Premiums are large, but the Wheel Score tapers the Premium points (17 of 20) because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. Chain open interest is 6,233 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 668k shares a day on a market cap of $7.2B, with a beta of 0.29 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 16 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 5 / 25 | -17% margin of safety | |
| Health | 13 / 20 | Piotroski 6/9 | |
| Moat | 9 / 15 | moat 6.2/10 | |
| Premium | 17 / 20 | implied volatility 70% | |
| Stability | 16 / 20 | 668k shares/day, $7.2B cap, beta 0.29 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 5 Nov 2026 (after the close), 20 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Gold
The 12 companies below are the closest to Aura Minerals by market cap within the Gold industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTG B2Gold Corp. | 5.18 | 7.12 | +27% | 81Prime | $6.8B |
| OR OR Royalties Inc. | 35.16 | 39.69 | +11% | 77Good | $6.6B |
| SSRM SSR Mining Inc. | 30.70 | 21.78 | -41% | 65Good | $6.3B |
| OGC OceanaGold Corporation | 26.65 | 40.10 | +34% | 45Weak | $5.9B |
| EGO Eldorado Gold Corporation | 36.23 | 60.20 | +40% | 84Prime | $9.4B |
| IAG Iamgold Corporation | 17.76 | 54.47 | +67% | 87Prime | $10.1B |
| HMY Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited | 16.98 | 202.12 | +92% | 95Prime | $10.6B |
| CGAU Centerra Gold Inc. | 21.97 | 48.60 | +55% | 81Prime | $4.3B |
| EQX Equinox Gold Corp. | 11.11 | 19.83 | +44% | 82Prime | $13.0B |
| AGI Alamos Gold Inc. | 31.98 | 61.68 | +48% | 92Prime | $13.4B |
| ARIS Aris Mining Corporation | 17.36 | 36.73 | +53% | 82Prime | $3.6B |
| CDE Coeur Mining, Inc. | 15.41 | 20.99 | +27% | 81Prime | $15.9B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about AUGO
Is AUGO undervalued right now?
No: at 85.47 the stock trades 17% above the GLS average fair value of 72.88 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). The margin of safety is negative.
What is the Wheel Score of AUGO and what does it mean?
AUGO scores 62 out of 100 (Fair). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for AUGO?
72.88 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Aura Minerals report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 5 Nov 2026 (after the close), 20 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does AUGO have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 204 listed contracts with 6,233 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 70% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.