Stock fact sheet · data as of
Dine Brands Global, Inc. (DIN): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · United States · Blend
Is DIN undervalued?
At 33.00 (close of 16 Oct 2026), DIN trades within a few percent of the GLS average fair value of 31.86 (3.6% above fair value). 8 models produced a value and they split 2 above the price to 6 below. A stock priced at fair value earns about half of the Wheel Score's Value points; the rest of the score comes from health, moat, premium and stability.
There is a wide gap between Payback Time (0.3051) and DCF (156.07). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files DIN under Blend.
Nine valuation models for DIN
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 156.07 | +373% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | 30.06 | -9% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 13.01 | -61% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 1.63 | -95% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 36.44 | +10% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 0.3051 | -99% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 11.18 | -66% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 6.19 | -81% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -131.11 | -497% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 34.33 | +4% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Dine Brands Global, Inc. scores 6 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. A GLS Moat score of 2.3/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 1.3%, ROE -6.2%, ROA 1.0% - with debt at -5.84 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 0.0%.
The dividend yield is 2.30% at a payout ratio of 337%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold. Revenue comes mainly from Franchisor 69%, Company Restaurants 20%, Rental 11% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 6 / 9 | ROIC | 1.3% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.3 / 10 | ROE | -6.2% |
| Debt / equity | -5.84 | ROA | 1.0% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 0.0% | Payout ratio | 337% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 10 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 59: Fair
A Wheel Score of 59 puts Dine Brands Global, Inc. in the Fair band - below the 70 the Sunday Scan requires. Value 11/25, Health 13/20, Moat 3/15, Premium 20/20 and Stability 12/20; the weakest part is Moat (3/15).
Implied volatility is 56% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is thin - 1,856 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 677k shares a day on a market cap of $418M, with a beta of 0.99; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 12 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 11 / 25 | -4% margin of safety | |
| Health | 13 / 20 | Piotroski 6/9 | |
| Moat | 3 / 15 | moat 2.3/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 56% | |
| Stability | 12 / 20 | 677k shares/day, $418M cap, beta 0.99 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 4 Nov 2026 (before the open), 19 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Restaurants
The 12 companies below are the closest to Dine Brands Global, Inc. by market cap within the Restaurants industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATH Nathan's Famous, Inc. | 101.88 | 73.79 | -38% | 26No options | $417M |
| KRUS Kura Sushi USA, Inc. | 39.12 | 23.10 | -69% | 21No options | $475M |
| LOCO El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. | 16.32 | 23.10 | +29% | 81Prime | $497M |
| PTLO Portillo's Inc. | 4.66 | 4.95 | +6% | 63Fair | $338M |
| PZZA Papa John's International, Inc. | 19.21 | 28.72 | +33% | 70Good | $632M |
| HDL SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING Ltd. American Depositary Shares | 10.78 | 22.32 | +52% | 39No options | $634M |
| CNNE Cannae Holdings, Inc. | 16.23 | 8.83 | -84% | 43Weak | $704M |
| JACK Jack in the Box Inc. | 12.66 | 22.56 | +44% | 75Good | $243M |
| FWRG First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. | 12.36 | 9.69 | -28% | 54Fair | $763M |
| BLMN Bloomin' Brands, Inc. | 9.93 | 11.85 | +16% | 68Good | $850M |
| RICK RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc. | 25.88 | 52.44 | +51% | 45Weak | $198M |
| RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. | 8.50 | 18.84 | +55% | 45Weak | $161M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about DIN
Is DIN undervalued right now?
Not meaningfully: at 33.00 the stock trades within a few percent of the GLS average fair value of 31.86 (3.6% above fair value, data as of 16 Oct 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of DIN and what does it mean?
DIN scores 59 out of 100 (Fair). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for DIN?
31.86 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Dine Brands Global, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 4 Nov 2026 (before the open), 19 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does DIN have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 94 listed contracts with 1,856 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 56% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.