Stock fact sheet · data as of
Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · United States · Value
Is DPZ undervalued?
Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) closed at 303.09 on 16 Oct 2026, close to the GLS average fair value of 307.19 (1.3% below fair value). 4 of the 8 models that produced a number sit above the price, 4 below - the market and our models roughly agree. With little margin of safety either way, the case for or against the stock rests on the quality numbers and the option premium rather than on price.
The 8 models disagree widely: DDM gives 113.45 while 10 Cap gives 511.61. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files DPZ under Value: positive earnings at a P/E of 18 or less.
Nine valuation models for DPZ
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 325.91 | +8% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | 450.25 | +49% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 151.85 | -50% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 222.37 | -27% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 511.61 | +69% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 477.13 | +57% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 113.45 | -63% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 204.96 | -32% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -145.35 | -148% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 353.53 | +17% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
On financial health DPZ scores 8/9 (Piotroski): most of the nine tests - positive earnings and cash flow, falling debt, rising margins and turnover - are passed, which is the kind of balance sheet a wheel trader is happy to be assigned. The GLS Moat score is 7.4 out of 10: a ten-year record that is consistent in some of the metrics the score tracks (revenue, earnings, margins, cash flow, returns on capital) and patchy in others.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 45.2%, ROE -15.4%, ROA 33.4% - with debt at -1.34 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 6.3%.
The dividend yield is 2.54% at a payout ratio of 41%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold. Revenue comes mainly from Supply Chain 61%, Domestic Stores 32%, International Franchise 7% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 4/10 and Congressional trading 6/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded Congressional buy was on 25 Sep 2026.
| Piotroski F-score | 8 / 9 | ROIC | 45.2% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 7.4 / 10 | ROE | -15.4% |
| Debt / equity | -1.34 | ROA | 33.4% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 6.3% | Payout ratio | 41% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 4 · 6 / 10 |
Wheel Score 77: Good
DPZ scores 77 out of 100 on the Wheel Score (Good band, 65-79). The score blends the margin of safety (Value, 13/25), Piotroski health (18/20), the GLS moat (11/15), the option premium on offer (17/20) and how easily the stock trades (18/20). Value (13/25) is the part holding the score back.
Implied volatility is 32% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out: some premium, but under the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for (17 of 20 points). Chain open interest is 34,674 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 1.1M shares a day on a market cap of $10.0B, with a beta of 0.95; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 18 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 13 / 25 | 1% margin of safety | |
| Health | 18 / 20 | Piotroski 8/9 | |
| Moat | 11 / 15 | moat 7.4/10 | |
| Premium | 17 / 20 | implied volatility 32% | |
| Stability | 18 / 20 | 1.1M shares/day, $10.0B cap, beta 0.95 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for DPZ in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Restaurants
The 12 companies below are the closest to Domino's Pizza, Inc. by market cap within the Restaurants industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXRH Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | 166.64 | 124.53 | -34% | 64Fair | $10.9B |
| EAT Brinker International, Inc. | 204.91 | 291.64 | +30% | 90Prime | $8.6B |
| BROS Dutch Bros Inc. | 41.10 | 24.65 | -67% | 54Fair | $7.7B |
| YUMC Yum China Holdings, Inc. | 43.20 | 69.88 | +38% | 91Prime | $14.8B |
| CAVA CAVA Group, Inc. | 55.40 | 13.31 | -316% | 56Fair | $6.5B |
| CAKE The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | 116.59 | 93.42 | -25% | 57Fair | $5.8B |
| DRI Darden Restaurants, Inc. | 214.31 | 160.14 | -34% | 62Fair | $24.2B |
| QSR Restaurant Brands International Inc. | 72.41 | 69.84 | -4% | 70Good | $25.3B |
| WING Wingstop Inc. | 122.90 | 137.21 | +10% | 69Good | $3.3B |
| SHAK Shake Shack Inc. | 68.77 | 27.84 | -147% | 54Fair | $2.8B |
| CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. | 30.56 | 26.14 | -17% | 71Good | $38.7B |
| YUM Yum! Brands, Inc. | 146.69 | 140.99 | -4% | 70Good | $40.0B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about DPZ
Is DPZ undervalued right now?
Not meaningfully: at 303.09 the stock trades within a few percent of the GLS average fair value of 307.19 (1.3% below fair value, data as of 16 Oct 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of DPZ and what does it mean?
DPZ scores 77 out of 100 (Good). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for DPZ?
307.19 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Domino's Pizza, Inc. report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for DPZ in our calendar as of 16 Oct 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does DPZ have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 876 listed contracts with 34,674 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 32% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.