Stock fact sheet · data as of
Wingstop Inc. (WING): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · United States · High Growth
Is WING undervalued?
At 122.90 (close of 16 Oct 2026), WING trades 10% under the GLS average fair value of 137.21. 4 of the 8 models that produced a value land above the price. A discount of this size counts as a positive margin of safety in every GLS screen; whether it is enough depends on the rest of the picture - the health score, the moat and the option premium below.
There is a wide gap between DDM (18.10) and GLS Growth (261.67). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files WING under High Growth: revenue and earnings growing fast enough that the growth-based models carry the valuation.
Nine valuation models for WING
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 95.00 | -23% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | 241.58 | +97% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 105.37 | -14% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 261.67 | +113% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 141.61 | +15% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 186.82 | +52% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 18.10 | -85% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 47.49 | -61% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -42.68 | -135% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 205.07 | +67% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Wingstop Inc. scores 6 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. On durability WING scores 6.2/10 on the GLS Moat - a middle reading; the Scorecard on the Quote page's Financials tab shows which ten-year lines are steady and which are not.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 32.7%, ROE -23.7%, ROA 25.1% - with debt at -1.72 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 3.8%.
The dividend yield is 1.00% with a payout ratio of 29% - a small yield that leaves most of the earnings in the business. Revenue comes mainly from Royalty, Franchise Fees And Other 42%, Royalty 38%, Franchisor Owned Outlet 16% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 6 / 9 | ROIC | 32.7% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 6.2 / 10 | ROE | -23.7% |
| Debt / equity | -1.72 | ROA | 25.1% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 3.8% | Payout ratio | 29% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 69: Good
With a Wheel Score of 69 - the Good band - Wingstop Inc. falls just short of the Sunday Scan's "70 or higher" rule. The parts: Value 17/25, Health 13/20, Moat 9/15, Premium 16/20, Stability 14/20; Moat (9/15) scores lowest.
Implied volatility is 75% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% ceiling of the sweet spot. Premiums are large, but the Wheel Score tapers the Premium points (16 of 20) because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. Chain open interest is 37,101 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 824k shares a day on a market cap of $3.3B, with a beta of 1.81 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 14 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 17 / 25 | 10% margin of safety | |
| Health | 13 / 20 | Piotroski 6/9 | |
| Moat | 9 / 15 | moat 6.2/10 | |
| Premium | 16 / 20 | implied volatility 75% | |
| Stability | 14 / 20 | 824k shares/day, $3.3B cap, beta 1.81 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Wingstop Inc. reports earnings on 28 Oct 2026 (before the open) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Restaurants
The 12 companies below are the closest to Wingstop Inc. by market cap within the Restaurants industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHAK Shake Shack Inc. | 68.77 | 27.84 | -147% | 54Fair | $2.8B |
| CHA Chagee Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares | 12.44 | 63.22 | +80% | 39No options | $2.4B |
| CAKE The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | 116.59 | 93.42 | -25% | 57Fair | $5.8B |
| CAVA CAVA Group, Inc. | 55.40 | 13.31 | -316% | 56Fair | $6.5B |
| ARCO Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. | 8.06 | 20.68 | +61% | 81Prime | $1.7B |
| CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store | 67.41 | 29.15 | -131% | 50Fair | $1.5B |
| BROS Dutch Bros Inc. | 41.10 | 24.65 | -67% | 54Fair | $7.7B |
| BH Biglari Holdings Inc. | 425.17 | 215.68 | -97% | 21No options | $1.4B |
| EAT Brinker International, Inc. | 204.91 | 291.64 | +30% | 90Prime | $8.6B |
| BJRI BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 60.22 | 56.95 | -6% | 69Good | $1.3B |
| WEN The Wendy's Company | 6.44 | 23.87 | +73% | 83Prime | $1.2B |
| SG Sweetgreen, Inc. | 10.14 | 1.92 | -427% | 31Weak | $1.2B |
⚖ Compare WING with 7 of them All Consumer Cyclical stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about WING
Is WING undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, moderately: at 122.90 the stock trades 10% below the average fair value of 137.21 (data as of 16 Oct 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of WING and what does it mean?
WING scores 69 out of 100 (Good). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for WING?
137.21 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Wingstop Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 28 Oct 2026 (before the open), 12 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does WING have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 768 listed contracts with 37,101 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 75% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.