Stock fact sheet · data as of
First Financial Bankshares, Inc. (FFIN): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Financial Services · Banks - Regional · United States · Value
Is FFIN undervalued?
At 31.59 (close of 16 Oct 2026), FFIN trades 24% over the GLS average fair value of 25.52. 3 of the 9 models land above the price and 6 below. A negative margin of safety costs Value points in the Wheel Score (3 of 25 here) - the models see no discount, which does not make the business a poor one, only the price a full one.
There is a wide gap between DCF (5.41) and 10 Cap (54.11). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files FFIN under Value: positive earnings at a P/E of 18 or less.
Nine valuation models for FFIN
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 5.41 | -83% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 24.26 | -23% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 35.87 | +14% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 10.36 | -67% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 15.44 | -51% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 54.11 | +71% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 51.26 | +62% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 12.07 | -62% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 20.86 | -34% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -30.48 | -196% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 35.00 | +11% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
First Financial Bankshares, Inc. scores 6 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. On durability FFIN scores 7.4/10 on the GLS Moat - a middle reading; the Scorecard on the Quote page's Financials tab shows which ten-year lines are steady and which are not.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 13.1%, ROE 13.2%, ROA 1.6% - with debt at 0.01 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 7.1%.
The dividend yield is 2.60% at a payout ratio of 40%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold. Revenue comes mainly from Fiduciary and Trust 45%, Deposit Account 33%, Mortgage Banking 22% (quarter Q1 FY2019).
Institutional ownership scores 8/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 6 / 9 | ROIC | 13.1% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 7.4 / 10 | ROE | 13.2% |
| Debt / equity | 0.01 | ROA | 1.6% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 7.1% | Payout ratio | 40% |
| Institutions | 8 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 63: Fair
A Wheel Score of 63 puts First Financial Bankshares, Inc. in the Fair band - below the 70 the Sunday Scan requires. Value 3/25, Health 13/20, Moat 11/15, Premium 20/20 and Stability 16/20; the weakest part is Value (3/25).
Implied volatility is 40% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is thin - 83 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 802k shares a day on a market cap of $4.5B, with a beta of 0.83; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 16 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 3 / 25 | -24% margin of safety | |
| Health | 13 / 20 | Piotroski 6/9 | |
| Moat | 11 / 15 | moat 7.4/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 40% | |
| Stability | 16 / 20 | 802k shares/day, $4.5B cap, beta 0.83 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
First Financial Bankshares, Inc. reports earnings on 22 Oct 2026 (after the close) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Banks - Regional
The 12 companies below are the closest to First Financial Bankshares, Inc. by market cap within the Banks - Regional industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TFSL TFS Financial Corporation | 16.18 | 7.83 | -107% | 45Weak | $4.5B |
| FLG Flagstar Financial, Inc. | 11.25 | 4.98 | -126% | 52Fair | $4.7B |
| ASB Associated Banc-Corp | 28.84 | 42.73 | +33% | 79Good | $4.8B |
| FULTP Fulton Financial Corporation | 16.63 | 26.24 | +37% | 39No options | $4.3B |
| FULT Fulton Financial Corporation | 22.35 | 29.55 | +24% | 85Prime | $4.3B |
| EBC Eastern Bankshares, Inc. | 21.14 | 23.98 | +12% | 79Good | $4.8B |
| IBOC International Bancshares Corporation | 67.65 | 101.97 | +34% | 85Prime | $4.2B |
| OZKAP Bank OZK | 15.10 | 75.93 | +80% | 39No options | $4.9B |
| OZK Bank OZK | 44.93 | 118.53 | +62% | 86Prime | $4.9B |
| SFBS ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc. | 38.07 | 51.20 | +26% | 87Prime | $4.2B |
| BMA Banco Macro S.A. | 65.03 | 93,106.43 | +100% | 76Good | $4.2B |
| FBP First BanCorp. | 27.19 | 38.50 | +29% | 91Prime | $4.2B |
⚖ Compare FFIN with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about FFIN
Is FFIN undervalued right now?
No: at 31.59 the stock trades 24% above the GLS average fair value of 25.52 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). The margin of safety is negative.
What is the Wheel Score of FFIN and what does it mean?
FFIN scores 63 out of 100 (Fair). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for FFIN?
25.52 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does First Financial Bankshares, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 22 Oct 2026 (after the close), 6 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does FFIN have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 86 listed contracts with 83 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 40% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.