Stock fact sheet · data as of
Flagstar Financial, Inc. (FLG): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Financial Services · Banks - Regional · United States · Blend
Is FLG undervalued?
FLG closed at 11.25 on 16 Oct 2026, more than 30% above the GLS average fair value of 4.98. Only 0 of the 8 models that produced a value sit above the price. By our models the shares are priced well beyond what the filed earnings, cash flow and book value support; the Sunday Scan drops names like this at the "below fair value" rule.
There is a wide gap between DDM (0.5886) and Payback Time (7.50). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files FLG under Blend.
Nine valuation models for FLG
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | 7.11 | -37% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 6.59 | -41% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 2.88 | -74% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 7.05 | -37% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 6.87 | -39% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 7.50 | -33% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 0.5886 | -95% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 1.28 | -89% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -152.05 | -1452% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 16.81 | +49% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Flagstar Financial, Inc. scores 5 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that falls one point short of the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. A GLS Moat score of 1.6/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -0.9%, ROE -2.2%, ROA -0.2% - with debt at 1.50 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 1.7%.
The dividend yield is 0.36% with a payout ratio of 102% - a small yield that leaves most of the earnings in the business.
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | -0.9% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 1.6 / 10 | ROE | -2.2% |
| Debt / equity | 1.50 | ROA | -0.2% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 1.7% | Payout ratio | 102% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 52: Fair
A Wheel Score of 52 puts Flagstar Financial, Inc. in the Fair band - below the 70 the Sunday Scan requires. Value 0/25, Health 11/20, Moat 2/15, Premium 20/20 and Stability 19/20; the weakest part is Value (0/25).
Implied volatility is 43% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. The option chain is deep: 278,329 contracts of open interest across all expiries, which means tight fills at most strikes.
Volume runs at 5.6M shares a day on a market cap of $4.7B, with a beta of 1.05; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 19 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -126% margin of safety | |
| Health | 11 / 20 | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Moat | 2 / 15 | moat 1.6/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 43% | |
| Stability | 19 / 20 | 5.6M shares/day, $4.7B cap, beta 1.05 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Flagstar Financial, Inc. reports earnings on 23 Oct 2026 (before the open) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Banks - Regional
The 12 companies below are the closest to Flagstar Financial, Inc. by market cap within the Banks - Regional industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASB Associated Banc-Corp | 28.84 | 42.73 | +33% | 79Good | $4.8B |
| TFSL TFS Financial Corporation | 16.18 | 7.83 | -107% | 45Weak | $4.5B |
| FFIN First Financial Bankshares, Inc. | 31.59 | 25.52 | -24% | 63Fair | $4.5B |
| EBC Eastern Bankshares, Inc. | 21.14 | 23.98 | +12% | 79Good | $4.8B |
| OZKAP Bank OZK | 15.10 | 75.93 | +80% | 39No options | $4.9B |
| OZK Bank OZK | 44.93 | 118.53 | +62% | 86Prime | $4.9B |
| AX Axos Financial, Inc. | 87.52 | 213.10 | +59% | 82Prime | $5.0B |
| FULTP Fulton Financial Corporation | 16.63 | 26.24 | +37% | 39No options | $4.3B |
| FULT Fulton Financial Corporation | 22.35 | 29.55 | +24% | 85Prime | $4.3B |
| FINN First National of Nebraska, Inc. | 19,000.00 | 59,493.42 | +68% | 39No options | $5.1B |
| IBOC International Bancshares Corporation | 67.65 | 101.97 | +34% | 85Prime | $4.2B |
| SFBS ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc. | 38.07 | 51.20 | +26% | 87Prime | $4.2B |
⚖ Compare FLG with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about FLG
Is FLG undervalued right now?
No: at 11.25 the stock trades 126% above the GLS average fair value of 4.98 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of FLG and what does it mean?
FLG scores 52 out of 100 (Fair). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for FLG?
4.98 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Flagstar Financial, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 23 Oct 2026 (before the open), 7 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does FLG have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 354 listed contracts with 278,329 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 43% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.