Stock fact sheet · data as of
Global Water Resources, Inc. (GWRS): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Utilities · Regulated Water · United States · Blend
Is GWRS undervalued?
Global Water Resources, Inc. (GWRS) closed at 8.09 on 16 Oct 2026, 148% above the GLS average fair value of 3.26. 6 of the 6 models that produced a number value the shares below the current price. A gap this wide usually means the market is paying for growth or a story the trailing numbers do not show yet; the models work from filed results, not forecasts, so they are conservative by design.
There is a wide gap between EPV (1.21) and Graham Growth (6.23). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files GWRS under Blend.
Nine valuation models for GWRS
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | 2.69 | -67% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 6.23 | -23% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 2.72 | -66% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 2.22 | -73% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | 4.47 | -45% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 1.21 | -85% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -13.25 | -264% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 12.50 | +55% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Global Water Resources, Inc. scores 5 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that falls one point short of the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. A GLS Moat score of 3.4/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 1.3%, ROE 3.4%, ROA 0.6% - with debt at 1.60 times equity and negative free cash flow.
The dividend yield is 3.75% at a payout ratio of 276%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold. Revenue comes mainly from Water Services 100% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 3/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | 1.3% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 3.4 / 10 | ROE | 3.4% |
| Debt / equity | 1.60 | ROA | 0.6% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -10.5% | Payout ratio | 276% |
| Institutions | 3 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 10 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 42: Weak
With a Wheel Score of 42 Global Water Resources, Inc. sits in the Weak band. The parts - Value 0/25, Health 11/20, Moat 5/15, Premium 20/20, Stability 6/20 - show where: Value (0/25) scores lowest.
Implied volatility is 46% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is thin - 674 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 42k shares a day on a market cap of $233M, with a beta of 0.94; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 6 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -148% margin of safety | |
| Health | 11 / 20 | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Moat | 5 / 15 | moat 3.4/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 46% | |
| Stability | 6 / 20 | 42k shares/day, $233M cap, beta 0.94 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 4 Nov 2026 (before the open), 19 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium. The shares go ex-dividend on 16 Oct 2026 (0.0253 per share), so a covered call sold before then carries a small early-assignment risk around that date.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Regulated Water
The 12 companies below are the closest to Global Water Resources, Inc. by market cap within the Regulated Water industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PCYO Pure Cycle Corporation | 11.19 | 7.42 | -51% | 42Weak | $270M |
| CDZIP Cadiz Inc. | 19.60 | - | - | 24No options | $298M |
| CDZI Cadiz Inc. | 3.81 | - | - | 35Weak | $323M |
| ARTNA Artesian Resources Corporation | 33.16 | 26.17 | -27% | 26No options | $342M |
| ARTNB Artesian Resources Corporation | 34.01 | 26.54 | -28% | 25No options | $349M |
| CWCO Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. | 28.76 | 37.63 | +24% | 69Good | $461M |
| YORW The York Water Company | 31.07 | 16.60 | -87% | 49Weak | $504M |
| MSEXP Middlesex Water Company PFD 7% | 492.00 | 151.21 | -225% | 28No options | $822M |
| MSEX Middlesex Water Company | 53.91 | 28.46 | -89% | 47Weak | $1.0B |
| HTO H2O America | 57.30 | 39.94 | -43% | 54Fair | $2.4B |
| CWT California Water Service Group | 46.05 | 24.67 | -87% | 53Fair | $2.8B |
| AWR American States Water Company | 82.74 | 45.00 | -84% | 51Fair | $3.3B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about GWRS
Is GWRS undervalued right now?
No: at 8.09 the stock trades 148% above the GLS average fair value of 3.26 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of GWRS and what does it mean?
GWRS scores 42 out of 100 (Weak). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for GWRS?
3.26 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 6 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Global Water Resources, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 4 Nov 2026 (before the open), 19 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does GWRS have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 62 listed contracts with 674 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 46% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.