Stock fact sheet · data as of
Heritage Global Inc. (HGBL): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol HGBL · Financial Services · Financial - Capital Markets · United States · Speculative
Is HGBL undervalued?
At 1.28 (close of 5 Nov 2026), HGBL trades 86% below the GLS average fair value of 8.84. That average comes from 1 models run on the latest filings, and 1 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns Heritage Global Inc. the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
The average is built from just 1 models (DCF) - the rest returned nothing because an input they need (dividends, free cash flow, book value) is zero or negative - so treat it with more caution than usual.
The nightly engine files HGBL under Speculative - it is losing money or its Piotroski health score is 3 or lower - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for HGBL
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 8.84 | +590% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 0.3504 | -73% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 3.00 | +134% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Heritage Global Inc. scores 5 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that falls one point short of the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. On durability HGBL scores 6.9/10 on the GLS Moat - a middle reading; the Moat Score tab on the Quote page's Financials view shows which of the four parts hold it back.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 4.9%, ROE 5.4%, ROA 4.1% - with debt at 0.09 times equity and negative free cash flow.
Heritage Global Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Service 65%, Product 36% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 4/10, insider activity 6/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | 4.9% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 6.9 / 10 | ROE | 5.4% |
| Debt / equity | 0.09 | ROA | 4.1% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -2.5% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 4 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 6 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 34: No options
No options are listed on Heritage Global Inc. in our nightly snapshot, so it fails the first Wheel Trade Filter (options that actually trade) (it reads 34, under 70) and is left out of every options scan; the fair value and health figures above are still useful for a plain stock position.
Volume runs at 81k shares a day on a market cap of $44M, with a beta of 0.45 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that fair.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Fails | no listed options |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Fails | speculative (a loss, or a weak Piotroski score) |
| 3 | Below fair value | Passes | Trading below the nine-model average fair value (margin of safety above 0) |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Fails | Piotroski 5/9 (under 6) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Fails | no implied volatility |
| 8 | Big enough | Fails | market cap $44M (under $1.0B) |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Fails | price 1.28 (under $5) |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Strong | 86% below fair value | |
| Premium | Weak | no option data | |
| Moat | Good | moat 6.9/10 | |
| Health | Fair | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Red Flags | Fair | not scored yet - half marks | |
| Option trading | Weak | no option volume data | |
| Stability | Fair | beta 0.45, $44M company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Heritage Global Inc. reports earnings on 5 Nov 2026 (after the close) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Financial - Capital Markets
The 12 companies below are the closest to Heritage Global Inc. by market cap within the Financial - Capital Markets industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| NCTY The9 Limited | 2.54 | 13.54 | +81% | 25No options | $39M |
| BTCS BTCS Inc. | 1.04 | 0.7425 | -40% | 9Weak | $55M |
| COHN Cohen & Company Inc. | 10.23 | 141.88 | +93% | 29No options | $33M |
| SRL Scully Royalty Ltd. | 4.23 | 5.05 | +16% | 19Weak | $64M |
| GRAN Grande Group Limited Class A Ordinary Shares | 1.20 | 0.0368 | -3159% | 14No options | $30M |
| FLD Fold Holdings, Inc. | 0.5386 | 0.1056 | -410% | 11Weak | $30M |
| CFOR CapForce Inc. | 6.90 | 102.05 | +93% | 27No options | $73M |
| SIEB Siebert Financial Corp. | 1.83 | 8.79 | +79% | 31Weak | $75M |
| ATCH AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. | 0.1403 | 0.1047 | -34% | 19No options | $21M |
⚖ Compare HGBL with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about HGBL
Is HGBL undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 1.28 the stock is 86% below the average fair value of 8.84 (data as of 5 Nov 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of HGBL and what does it mean?
HGBL has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; it fails the first Wheel Trade Filter (options that actually trade), stays under 70 and is shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for HGBL?
8.84 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 1 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Heritage Global Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 5 Nov 2026 (after the close), 0 days from the data date of 5 Nov 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does HGBL have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on HGBL, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score stays under 70.