Stock fact sheet · data as of
The9 Limited (NCTY): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Financial Services · Financial - Capital Markets · China · ADR · Speculative / Distressed
Is NCTY undervalued?
The9 Limited (NCTY) closed at 3.39 on 16 Oct 2026. The GLS average fair value - the simple average of the 5 valuation models that produced a positive number - is 12.36, which puts the price 73% below it. 4 of the 5 models value the shares above the current price. A gap this wide is rare in our universe of ~7,400 US stocks and is exactly what the Value part of the Wheel Score rewards; it is also where the question "why is it this cheap?" matters most.
The 5 models disagree widely: Graham Number gives 0.2422 while Graham Growth gives 32.91. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files NCTY under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for NCTY
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | 0.2422 | -93% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 32.91 | +871% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 14.22 | +319% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 7.59 | +124% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 6.82 | +101% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -0.5766 | -117% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is weak: NCTY passes 3 of the nine Piotroski tests. Our screens drop the stock at the health rule; a low score is often the reason a stock looks cheap on the valuation models. The GLS Moat score is low at 0.9 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -80.7%, ROE -152.6%, ROA -67.7% - with debt at 0.89 times equity and negative free cash flow.
The9 Limited pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Cryptocurrency Mining Revenue 100% (fiscal year FY2025).
Institutional ownership scores 5/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 3 / 9 | ROIC | -80.7% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 0.9 / 10 | ROE | -152.6% |
| Debt / equity | 0.89 | ROA | -67.7% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -17.8% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 5 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 36: No options
NCTY has no listed options in the nightly snapshot, so there is nothing to sell and the stock cannot be wheeled however good the business; the Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options" (36 here). The valuation and quality numbers still apply to owning the shares outright.
Volume runs at 44k shares a day on a market cap of $52M, with a beta of 2.02 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 3 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 73% margin of safety | |
| Health | 7 / 20 | Piotroski 3/9 | |
| Moat | 1 / 15 | moat 0.9/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 3 / 20 | 44k shares/day, $52M cap, beta 2.02 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for NCTY in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Financial - Capital Markets
The 12 companies below are the closest to The9 Limited by market cap within the Financial - Capital Markets industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MATH Metalpha Technology Holding Limited | 1.08 | 6.44 | +83% | 39No options | $51M |
| DOMH Dominari Holdings Inc. | 2.04 | 11.20 | +82% | 42Weak | $49M |
| HGBL Heritage Global Inc. | 1.25 | 8.56 | +85% | 39No options | $43M |
| CFOR CapForce Inc. | 4.04 | 102.05 | +96% | 39No options | $42M |
| BTCS BTCS Inc. | 1.21 | 0.7357 | -64% | 18Weak | $63M |
| SRL Scully Royalty Ltd. | 4.75 | 4.78 | +1% | 42Weak | $72M |
| COHN Cohen & Company Inc. | 10.76 | 141.88 | +92% | 39No options | $35M |
| SIEB Siebert Financial Corp. | 2.02 | 8.79 | +77% | 45Weak | $83M |
| GRAN Grande Group Limited Class A Ordinary Shares | 1.28 | 0.0357 | -3485% | 18No options | $32M |
| PLUT Plutus Financial Group Limited | 1.98 | 0.3584 | -452% | 10No options | $30M |
| BMHL Bluemount Holdings Limited | 3.58 | 2.35 | -52% | 23No options | $91M |
| FLD Fold Holdings, Inc. | 0.5231 | 0.0883 | -493% | 19Weak | $29M |
⚖ Compare NCTY with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about NCTY
Is NCTY undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 3.39 the stock is 73% below the average fair value of 12.36 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of NCTY and what does it mean?
NCTY has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for NCTY?
12.36 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 5 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does The9 Limited report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for NCTY in our calendar as of 16 Oct 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does NCTY have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on NCTY, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.