INNIO N.V. Ordinary Shares (INIO): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score

Is INIO undervalued?

INIO closed at 16.50 on 16 Oct 2026, more than 30% above the GLS average fair value of 6.18. Only 0 of the 2 models that produced a value sit above the price. By our models the shares are priced well beyond what the filed earnings, cash flow and book value support; the Sunday Scan drops names like this at the "below fair value" rule.

The average is built from just 2 models (DCF, 10 Cap) - the rest returned nothing because an input they need (dividends, free cash flow, book value) is zero or negative - so treat it with more caution than usual.

The nightly engine files INIO under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.

Nine valuation models for INIO

Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.

Quality and financial health

INNIO N.V. Ordinary Shares scores only 0 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. A GLS Moat score of 8.0/10 puts INIO among the more durable businesses we track: over ten years the metrics the score watches (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, ROIC) have mostly moved the right way, year after year.

Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 4.9%, ROE 66.3%, ROA 2.9% - with debt at 12.53 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 2.8%. Debt of 12.53 times equity is on the high side for the sector and is worth checking against the cash flow before treating the stock as a long-term hold.

INNIO N.V. Ordinary Shares pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Equipment and Product 61%, Services 39% (quarter Q2 FY2026).

Institutional ownership scores 8/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.

Wheel Score 40: Weak

With a Wheel Score of 40 INNIO N.V. Ordinary Shares sits in the Weak band. The parts - Value 0/25, Health 0/20, Moat 12/15, Premium 13/20, Stability 15/20 - show where: Value (0/25) scores lowest.

Implied volatility is 86% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% ceiling of the sweet spot. Premiums are large, but the Wheel Score tapers the Premium points (13 of 20) because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. Chain open interest is 35,551 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.

Volume runs at 8.1M shares a day on a market cap of $12.4B, with a beta of 2.75 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 15 of 20.

The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.

Upcoming events

INNIO N.V. Ordinary Shares reports earnings on 27 Oct 2026 (before the open) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.

Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.

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