Stock fact sheet · data as of
J&J Snack Foods Corp. (JJSF): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods · United States · High Yield Income
Is JJSF undervalued?
J&J Snack Foods Corp. (JJSF) closed at 78.95 on 16 Oct 2026, close to the GLS average fair value of 87.19 (9.5% below fair value). 4 of the 9 models that produced a number sit above the price, 5 below - the market and our models roughly agree. With little margin of safety either way, the case for or against the stock rests on the quality numbers and the option premium rather than on price.
There is a wide gap between Lynch (15.17) and Payback Time (194.66). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files JJSF under High Yield Income: a dividend yield above 4%.
Nine valuation models for JJSF
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 97.35 | +23% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 53.14 | -33% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 51.54 | -35% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 15.17 | -81% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 161.18 | +104% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 135.38 | +71% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 194.66 | +147% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 47.09 | -40% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 29.25 | -63% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 3.40 | -96% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 101.00 | +28% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
J&J Snack Foods Corp. scores 6 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. A GLS Moat score of 4.7/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 5.8%, ROE 6.8%, ROA 4.7% - with debt at 0.17 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 6.2%.
The dividend yield is high at 4.05% (payout ratio 124%) - a payout above 100% of earnings, which is not covered by profits. A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual. Revenue comes mainly from Food Service 64%, Frozen Beverages 23%, Retail Supermarket 13% (quarter Q4 FY2025).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 6 / 9 | ROIC | 5.8% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 4.7 / 10 | ROE | 6.8% |
| Debt / equity | 0.17 | ROA | 4.7% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 6.2% | Payout ratio | 124% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 10 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 68: Good
With a Wheel Score of 68 - the Good band - J&J Snack Foods Corp. falls just short of the Sunday Scan's "70 or higher" rule. The parts: Value 16/25, Health 13/20, Moat 7/15, Premium 20/20, Stability 11/20; Moat (7/15) scores lowest.
Implied volatility is 45% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is thin - 332 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 284k shares a day on a market cap of $1.5B, with a beta of 0.41 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 11 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 16 / 25 | 9% margin of safety | |
| Health | 13 / 20 | Piotroski 6/9 | |
| Moat | 7 / 15 | moat 4.7/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 45% | |
| Stability | 11 / 20 | 284k shares/day, $1.5B cap, beta 0.41 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 16 Nov 2026 (before the open), 31 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Packaged Foods
The 12 companies below are the closest to J&J Snack Foods Corp. by market cap within the Packaged Foods industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLF Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. | 14.57 | 47.90 | +70% | 74Good | $1.5B |
| NOMD Nomad Foods Limited | 11.49 | 16.68 | +31% | 84Prime | $1.6B |
| FLO Flowers Foods, Inc. | 6.12 | 10.71 | +43% | 78Good | $1.3B |
| UTZ Utz Brands, Inc. | 14.31 | 8.65 | -65% | 45Weak | $1.3B |
| SENEB Seneca Foods Corporation | 184.29 | 585.73 | +69% | 39No options | $1.2B |
| SENEM Seneca Foods Corporation PFD $12.00 | 178.00 | 567.83 | +69% | 39No options | $1.2B |
| SENEA Seneca Foods Corporation | 181.78 | 582.74 | +69% | 39No options | $1.2B |
| BRBR BellRing Brands, Inc. | 8.99 | 56.38 | +84% | 77Good | $1.0B |
| SMPL The Simply Good Foods Company | 10.72 | 25.09 | +57% | 45Weak | $948M |
| CENT Central Garden & Pet Company | 41.95 | 93.45 | +55% | 71Good | $2.3B |
| CENTA Central Garden & Pet Company | 36.05 | 87.97 | +59% | 71Good | $2.3B |
| WEST Westrock Coffee Company, LLC | 8.07 | - | - | 45Weak | $788M |
⚖ Compare JJSF with 7 of them All Consumer Defensive stocks →
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A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the same eight-rule screen, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about JJSF
Is JJSF undervalued right now?
Not meaningfully: at 78.95 the stock trades within a few percent of the GLS average fair value of 87.19 (9.5% below fair value, data as of 16 Oct 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of JJSF and what does it mean?
JJSF scores 68 out of 100 (Good). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for JJSF?
87.19 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does J&J Snack Foods Corp. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 16 Nov 2026 (before the open), 31 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does JJSF have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 170 listed contracts with 332 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 45% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.