Meta Platforms, Inc. (META): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score

Is META undervalued?

META closed at 630.00 on 5 Nov 2026 against a GLS average fair value of 599.65 - 5.1% above fair value, which our scans read as "fairly priced". 2 of 9 models are above the current price. There is no discount to lean on here, so the margin of safety is not the reason to look at the stock.

There is a wide gap between DDM (30.90) and GLS Growth (1,805.15). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.

Ranked against every other company we cover, META is clearly faster-growing than it is cheap, so the nightly engine files it under Growth (value score 28, growth score 83, out of 100).

Nine valuation models for META

Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.

Quality and financial health

Meta Platforms, Inc. scores only 4 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. A GLS Moat score of 9.3/10 puts META among the more durable businesses we track: over up to ten years its returns on capital have stayed high, its margins steady and its balance sheet sound.

Returns on capital are high - ROIC 20.1%, ROE 27.8%, ROA 16.5% - with debt at 0.39 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 2.1%.

The dividend yield is 0.33% with a payout ratio of 7% - a small yield that leaves most of the earnings in the business. Revenue comes mainly from Family of Apps 99%, Reality Labs 1% (quarter Q3 FY2026).

Institutional ownership scores 8/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 6/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded Congressional buy was on 23 Sep 2026.

Wheel Score 44: Weak

With a Wheel Score of 44 Meta Platforms, Inc. sits in the Weak band. It fails filter 3, below fair value - trades 5% above our fair value; and filter 4, financially healthy - Piotroski 4/9 (under 6); Value (weak) is its weakest part.

Implied volatility is 39% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% sweet spot the Wheel Score rewards most: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. The option chain is deep: 1,795,378 contracts of open interest across all expiries, which means tight fills at most strikes.

Volume runs at 32.3M shares a day on a market cap of $1.40T, with a beta of 1.28 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that strong.

The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.

Upcoming events

The next earnings report is due on 27 Jan 2027, 83 days away - outside the window of a 30-45-day put sold today.

Analysts upgraded META 1 time in the last 30 days with no downgrades; the latest action was a reiterated rating by Piper Sandler on 26 Oct 2026.

Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.

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