Stock fact sheet · data as of
PEDEVCO Corp. (PED): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · United States · Speculative / Distressed
Is PED undervalued?
At 12.81 (close of 16 Oct 2026), PED trades 86% below the GLS average fair value of 89.18. That average comes from 2 models run on the latest filings, and 2 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns PEDEVCO Corp. the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
The average is built from just 2 models (DCF, 10 Cap) - the rest returned nothing because an input they need (dividends, free cash flow, book value) is zero or negative - so treat it with more caution than usual.
The nightly engine files PED under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for PED
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 150.22 | +1073% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | 28.13 | +120% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -9.84 | -177% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 48.00 | +275% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
PEDEVCO Corp. scores only 4 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. A GLS Moat score of 2.8/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC -5.0%, ROE -5.0%, ROA -2.8% - with debt at 0.00 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 1.1%.
PEDEVCO Corp. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Oil Sales 92%, Natural Gas Liquids Sales 6%, Natural Gas Sales 2% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 8/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 4 / 9 | ROIC | -5.0% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.8 / 10 | ROE | -5.0% |
| Debt / equity | 0.00 | ROA | -2.8% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 1.1% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 8 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 39: No options
No options are listed on PEDEVCO Corp. in our nightly snapshot. The Wheel Score is therefore capped at 39 (it reads 39) and the stock is left out of every options screen; the fair value and health figures above are still useful for a plain stock position.
Volume runs at 15k shares a day on a market cap of $170M, with a beta of 0.23 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 6 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 86% margin of safety | |
| Health | 9 / 20 | Piotroski 4/9 | |
| Moat | 4 / 15 | moat 2.8/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 6 / 20 | 15k shares/day, $170M cap, beta 0.23 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 13 Nov 2026 (after the close), 28 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
The 12 companies below are the closest to PEDEVCO Corp. by market cap within the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPSN Epsilon Energy Ltd. | 5.88 | 6.92 | +15% | 45Weak | $178M |
| AMPY Amplify Energy Corp. | 4.35 | 11.06 | +61% | 70Good | $180M |
| GLND Greenland Energy Company Common Stock | 3.45 | - | - | 37Weak | $151M |
| EPM Evolution Petroleum Corporation | 3.67 | 7.59 | +52% | 45Weak | $147M |
| EP Empire Petroleum Corporation | 3.27 | - | - | 25No options | $136M |
| SJT San Juan Basin Royalty Trust | 4.58 | - | - | 45Weak | $213M |
| KGEI Kolibri Global Energy Inc. | 6.62 | 7.32 | +10% | 39No options | $238M |
| INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. | 13.00 | 62.22 | +79% | 71Good | $242M |
| ANNA AleAnna, Inc. | 2.57 | 10.48 | +75% | 39No options | $105M |
| UNTC Unit Corporation | 31.25 | 48.19 | +35% | 39No options | $309M |
| FTW Presidio Production Company | 10.03 | 4,639.33 | +100% | 66Good | $316M |
| PNRG PrimeEnergy Resources Corporation | 212.55 | 477.47 | +55% | 39No options | $336M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about PED
Is PED undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 12.81 the stock is 86% below the average fair value of 89.18 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of PED and what does it mean?
PED has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for PED?
89.18 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 2 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does PEDEVCO Corp. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 13 Nov 2026 (after the close), 28 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does PED have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on PED, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.