Stock fact sheet · data as of
Shoe Station Group Inc. (SHOE): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Consumer Cyclical · Apparel - Retail · United States · High Yield Income
Is SHOE undervalued?
Shoe Station Group Inc. (SHOE) closed at 13.24 on 16 Oct 2026. The GLS average fair value - the simple average of the 9 valuation models that produced a positive number - is 32.83, which puts the price 60% below it. 7 of the 9 models value the shares above the current price. A gap this wide is rare in our universe of ~7,400 US stocks and is exactly what the Value part of the Wheel Score rewards; it is also where the question "why is it this cheap?" matters most.
There is a wide gap between GLS Growth (4.87) and Graham Growth (66.50). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files SHOE under High Yield Income: a dividend yield above 4%.
Nine valuation models for SHOE
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 33.23 | +151% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 27.45 | +107% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 66.50 | +402% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 28.22 | +113% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 4.87 | -63% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 65.57 | +395% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 44.75 | +238% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 9.71 | -27% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 15.13 | +14% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 3.10 | -77% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Shoe Station Group Inc. scores 5 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that falls one point short of the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. A GLS Moat score of 3.6/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 4.9%, ROE 7.6%, ROA 4.3% - with debt at 0.54 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 17.3%.
The dividend yield is high at 4.98% (payout ratio 47%). A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual.
Institutional ownership scores 5/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | 4.9% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 3.6 / 10 | ROE | 7.6% |
| Debt / equity | 0.54 | ROA | 4.3% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 17.3% | Payout ratio | 47% |
| Institutions | 5 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 69: Good
With a Wheel Score of 69 - the Good band - Shoe Station Group Inc. falls just short of the Sunday Scan's "70 or higher" rule. The parts: Value 25/25, Health 11/20, Moat 5/15, Premium 16/20, Stability 12/20; Moat (5/15) scores lowest.
Implied volatility is 77% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% ceiling of the sweet spot. Premiums are large, but the Wheel Score tapers the Premium points (16 of 20) because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. Chain open interest is 24,360 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 942k shares a day on a market cap of $359M, with a beta of 1.36 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 12 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 60% margin of safety | |
| Health | 11 / 20 | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Moat | 5 / 15 | moat 3.6/10 | |
| Premium | 16 / 20 | implied volatility 77% | |
| Stability | 12 / 20 | 942k shares/day, $359M cap, beta 1.36 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 19 Nov 2026 (before the open), 34 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Apparel - Retail
The 12 companies below are the closest to Shoe Station Group Inc. by market cap within the Apparel - Retail industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GCO Genesco Inc. | 37.42 | 116.09 | +68% | 68Good | $405M |
| SFIX Stitch Fix, Inc. | 2.39 | 5.26 | +55% | 45Weak | $319M |
| CTRN Citi Trends, Inc. | 49.94 | 20.51 | -144% | 30Weak | $416M |
| LE Lands' End, Inc. | 10.28 | 319.56 | +97% | 63Fair | $304M |
| CAL Caleres, Inc. | 13.14 | 42.46 | +69% | 75Good | $453M |
| JILL J.Jill, Inc. | 24.68 | 53.48 | +54% | 39No options | $278M |
| CURV Torrid Holdings Inc. | 2.45 | 14.03 | +83% | 45Weak | $244M |
| ZUMZ Zumiez Inc. | 14.12 | 36.18 | +61% | 74Good | $216M |
| DLTH Duluth Holdings Inc. | 4.00 | 10.22 | +61% | 64Fair | $152M |
| TLYS Tilly's, Inc. | 4.55 | 3.27 | -39% | 37Weak | $137M |
| AKA a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp. | 10.18 | 29.36 | +65% | 39No options | $112M |
| CRI Carter's Inc. | 32.64 | 88.45 | +63% | 78Good | $1.2B |
⚖ Compare SHOE with 7 of them All Consumer Cyclical stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about SHOE
Is SHOE undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 13.24 the stock is 60% below the average fair value of 32.83 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of SHOE and what does it mean?
SHOE scores 69 out of 100 (Good). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for SHOE?
32.83 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Shoe Station Group Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 19 Nov 2026 (before the open), 34 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does SHOE have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 108 listed contracts with 24,360 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 77% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.