Stock fact sheet · data as of
T. Rowe Price Target Retirement 2050 Fund (TRFOX): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Financial Services · Asset Management · United States · High Yield Income
Is TRFOX undervalued?
TRFOX has a margin of safety of 100%: the stock closed at 22.32 on 16 Oct 2026 against a GLS average fair value of 9,783.44. 1 of the 3 valuation models that produced a number sit above the price. Our screens treat a discount this large as a strong starting point for a cash-secured put, not as a verdict - the fair value is a model output, and a wide gap can mean the models are missing something the market knows.
The average is built from just 3 models (DCF, 10 Cap, DDM) - the rest returned nothing because an input they need (dividends, free cash flow, book value) is zero or negative - so treat it with more caution than usual.
The nightly engine files TRFOX under High Yield Income: a dividend yield above 4%.
Nine valuation models for TRFOX
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 20.00 | -10% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | 29,316.20 | +131245% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | 14.12 | -37% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -14,261.68 | -63996% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
T. Rowe Price Target Retirement 2050 Fund scores 8 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, the nine yes/no tests of profitability, leverage and efficiency on the latest annual accounts - a strong reading that passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule with room to spare. A GLS Moat score of 3.7/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 5.4%, ROE 13.7%, ROA 3.5% - with debt at 1.53 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 5204.8%.
The dividend yield is high at 4.30% (payout ratio 57%). A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual.
Institutional ownership scores 5/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 8 / 9 | ROIC | 5.4% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 3.7 / 10 | ROE | 13.7% |
| Debt / equity | 1.53 | ROA | 3.5% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 5204.8% | Payout ratio | 57% |
| Institutions | 5 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 39: No options
No options are listed on T. Rowe Price Target Retirement 2050 Fund in our nightly snapshot. The Wheel Score is therefore capped at 39 (it reads 39) and the stock is left out of every options screen; the fair value and health figures above are still useful for a plain stock position.
Volume runs at - a day on a market cap of $393M, with a beta of 1.19; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 6 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 100% margin of safety | |
| Health | 18 / 20 | Piotroski 8/9 | |
| Moat | 6 / 15 | moat 3.7/10 | |
| Premium | 0 / 20 | no option data | |
| Stability | 6 / 20 | 0k shares/day, $393M cap, beta 1.19 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for TRFOX in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Asset Management
The 12 companies below are the closest to T. Rowe Price Target Retirement 2050 Fund by market cap within the Asset Management industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VOLT Tema Electrification ETF | 35.14 | 3.73 | -843% | 27Weak | $392M |
| ECCU Eagle Point Credit Company Inc. | 25.11 | 14.09 | -78% | 8No options | $388M |
| ECC Eagle Point Credit Company Inc. | 2.90 | 14.09 | +79% | 39No options | $386M |
| SAV Saratoga Investment Corp 7.50% | 24.79 | 47.82 | +48% | 31No options | $401M |
| ISD PGIM High Yield Bond Fund, Inc. | 11.55 | 12.70 | +9% | 39No options | $385M |
| WMKGX WesMark Large Company Fund | 25.84 | 68.95 | +63% | 39No options | $385M |
| ECCV Eagle Point Credit Company Inc. | 23.86 | 14.09 | -69% | 8No options | $385M |
| MEFIX ClearBridge Emerging Markets Fund - Class FI | 19.12 | 0.8592 | -2125% | 16No options | $402M |
| FSCHX Fidelity Select Chemical Pt | 13.64 | 5.92 | -131% | 18No options | $402M |
| HKHC Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation | 20.50 | 71.76 | +71% | 38No options | $382M |
| KIO KKR Income Opportunities Fund | 9.96 | 23.34 | +57% | 39No options | $408M |
| MCI Barings Corporate Investors | 18.26 | 38.44 | +52% | 39No options | $376M |
⚖ Compare TRFOX with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about TRFOX
Is TRFOX undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 22.32 the stock is 100% below the average fair value of 9,783.44 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of TRFOX and what does it mean?
TRFOX has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; its Wheel Score is capped at 39 and shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for TRFOX?
9,783.44 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 3 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does T. Rowe Price Target Retirement 2050 Fund report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for TRFOX in our calendar as of 16 Oct 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does TRFOX have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on TRFOX, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score is capped at 39.