Stock fact sheet · data as of
Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol EXP · Basic Materials · Construction Materials · United States · Blend
Is EXP undervalued?
EXP closed at 198.19 on 5 Nov 2026 against a GLS average fair value of 189.74 - 4.5% above fair value, which our scans read as "fairly priced". 3 of 9 models are above the current price. There is no discount to lean on here, so the margin of safety is not the reason to look at the stock.
There is a wide gap between DDM (14.71) and Graham Growth (496.82). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
Ranked against every other company we cover, neither cheapness nor growth clearly wins for EXP, so the nightly engine files it under Blend (value score 35, growth score 38, out of 100).
Nine valuation models for EXP
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 162.31 | -18% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 117.79 | -41% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 496.82 | +151% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 201.75 | +2% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 164.73 | -17% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 271.20 | +37% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 141.59 | -29% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 14.71 | -93% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 136.74 | -31% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -46.18 | -123% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 197.14 | -1% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Eagle Materials Inc. scores 6 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that passes the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. A GLS Moat score of 8.1/10 puts EXP among the more durable businesses we track: over up to ten years its returns on capital have stayed high, its margins steady and its balance sheet sound.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 13.0%, ROE 28.7%, ROA 11.0% - with debt at 1.22 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 2.8%.
The dividend yield is 0.50% with a payout ratio of 9% - a small yield that leaves most of the earnings in the business. Revenue comes mainly from Cement 57%, Gypsum Wallboard 31%, Concrete And Aggregates 12% (quarter Q1 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 6 / 9 | ROIC | 13.0% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 8.1 / 10 | ROE | 28.7% |
| Debt / equity | 1.22 | ROA | 11.0% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 2.8% | Payout ratio | 9% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 36: Weak
With a Wheel Score of 36 Eagle Materials Inc. sits in the Weak band. It fails filter 3, below fair value - trades 4% above our fair value; and filter 6, no serious red flags - Red Flags score 50 (under 60); Value (weak) is its weakest part.
Implied volatility is 38% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% sweet spot the Wheel Score rewards most: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is 5,371 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 855k shares a day on a market cap of $6.1B, with a beta of 1.31 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that fair.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Passes | Listed options with 1,000+ contracts of open interest and 100+ traded a day |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Passes | Profitable over the last twelve months - not a speculative stock, fund or note |
| 3 | Below fair value | Fails | trades 4% above our fair value |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Passes | Piotroski F-score 6 or more out of 9 (a company with no score on file passes) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Fails | Red Flags score 50 (under 60) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Passes | Implied volatility 25-80% (enough premium, not a lottery ticket) |
| 8 | Big enough | Passes | Market cap $1 billion or more |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Weak | 4% above fair value | |
| Premium | Strong | implied volatility 38% | |
| Moat | Strong | moat 8.1/10 | |
| Health | Good | Piotroski 6/9 | |
| Red Flags | Weak | Red Flags score 50/100 | |
| Option trading | Fair | 2,557 contracts a day, 5,371 open interest | |
| Stability | Fair | beta 1.31, $6.1B company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for EXP in the nightly calendar. The next ex-dividend date is 14 Dec 2026 (0.2500 per share).
No analyst upgrades or downgrades were recorded in the last 30 days.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Construction Materials
The 12 companies below are the closest to Eagle Materials Inc. by market cap within the Construction Materials industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TREX Trex Company, Inc. | 57.15 | 43.32 | -32% | 40Weak | $5.8B |
| FBIN Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 47.47 | 30.02 | -58% | 35Weak | $5.7B |
| AWI Armstrong World Industries, Inc. | 175.95 | 158.48 | -11% | 29Weak | $7.4B |
| BLDR Builders FirstSource, Inc. | 69.50 | 31.29 | -122% | 35Weak | $7.5B |
| GFF Griffon Corporation | 107.52 | 103.04 | -4% | 32Weak | $4.9B |
| SPXC SPX Technologies, Inc. | 153.47 | 145.69 | -5% | 34Weak | $7.7B |
| SSD Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. | 205.16 | 121.42 | -69% | 40Weak | $8.4B |
| OC Owens Corning | 127.80 | 178.38 | +28% | 48Weak | $10.1B |
| USLM United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. | 123.38 | 100.64 | -23% | 35Weak | $3.5B |
| KNF Knife River Corporation | 62.24 | 70.80 | +12% | 38Weak | $3.5B |
| WMS Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. | 144.18 | 122.12 | -18% | 37Weak | $10.9B |
| TTAM Titan America S.A. | 14.30 | 22.31 | +36% | 43Weak | $2.6B |
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A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the top 10 stocks that pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about EXP
Is EXP undervalued right now?
Not meaningfully: at 198.19 the stock trades within a few percent of the GLS average fair value of 189.74 (4.5% above fair value, data as of 5 Nov 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of EXP and what does it mean?
EXP scores 36 out of 100 (Weak) - it fails Wheel Trade Filters 3, 6. The Wheel Score ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned - in two parts: the 9 pass/fail Wheel Trade Filters (busy options, a real business, below fair value, Piotroski 6 or more, debt it can repay, a Red Flags score of 60 or more, implied volatility of 25-80%, a $1 billion company, $5 a share) and a ranking of how strongly a stock passes on value, premium, moat, health, red flags, option trading and stability. A stock that fails any filter stays under 70; 70-84 is Good, 85 and above is Prime. The Sunday Scan is the top 10 that pass, sorted by Wheel Score.
What is the GLS fair value for EXP?
189.74 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Eagle Materials Inc. report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for EXP in our calendar as of 5 Nov 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does EXP have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 138 listed contracts with 5,371 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 38% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.