Stock fact sheet · data as of
Presidio Production Company (FTW): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · United States · High Yield Income
Is FTW undervalued?
FTW has a margin of safety of 100%: the stock closed at 10.03 on 16 Oct 2026 against a GLS average fair value of 4,639.33. 5 of the 7 valuation models that produced a number sit above the price. Our screens treat a discount this large as a strong starting point for a cash-secured put, not as a verdict - the fair value is a model output, and a wide gap can mean the models are missing something the market knows.
There is a wide gap between Lynch (5.68) and DCF (32,318.89). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files FTW under High Yield Income: a dividend yield above 4%.
Nine valuation models for FTW
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 32,318.89 | +322122% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 18.80 | +87% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 22.89 | +128% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 5.68 | -43% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 86.86 | +766% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | - | - | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10%; no value tonight |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | 6.46 | -36% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 15.76 | +57% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -11.56 | -215% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 15.00 | +50% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Presidio Production Company scores only 4 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, which fails the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. A reading this low means several of the basic tests - positive earnings, positive operating cash flow, falling debt, no new share issuance - are not met. A GLS Moat score of 4.3/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 23.4%, ROE -174.7%, ROA 14.8% - with debt at -8.46 times equity and negative free cash flow.
The dividend yield is high at 4.38% (payout ratio 9%). A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual.
Institutional ownership scores 4/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 4 / 9 | ROIC | 23.4% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 4.3 / 10 | ROE | -174.7% |
| Debt / equity | -8.46 | ROA | 14.8% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -30.6% | Payout ratio | 9% |
| Institutions | 4 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 66: Good
With a Wheel Score of 66 - the Good band - Presidio Production Company falls just short of the Sunday Scan's "70 or higher" rule. The parts: Value 25/25, Health 9/20, Moat 6/15, Premium 20/20, Stability 6/20; Stability (6/20) scores lowest.
Implied volatility is 37% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is 6,098 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 63k shares a day on a market cap of $316M, with a beta of 0.20 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 6 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 100% margin of safety | |
| Health | 9 / 20 | Piotroski 4/9 | |
| Moat | 6 / 15 | moat 4.3/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 37% | |
| Stability | 6 / 20 | 63k shares/day, $316M cap, beta 0.20 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 5 Nov 2026, 20 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium. The next ex-dividend date is 2 Dec 2026 (0.3375 per share).
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
The 12 companies below are the closest to Presidio Production Company by market cap within the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNTC Unit Corporation | 31.25 | 48.19 | +35% | 39No options | $309M |
| PNRG PrimeEnergy Resources Corporation | 212.55 | 477.47 | +55% | 39No options | $336M |
| REI Ring Energy, Inc. | 1.32 | 4.07 | +68% | 45Weak | $344M |
| GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. | 10.61 | 65.71 | +84% | 45Weak | $375M |
| INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. | 13.00 | 62.22 | +79% | 71Good | $242M |
| ZNOG Zion Oil & Gas, Inc. | 0.3500 | 0.0073 | -4679% | 21No options | $417M |
| KGEI Kolibri Global Energy Inc. | 6.62 | 7.32 | +10% | 39No options | $238M |
| GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. | 6.45 | 28.55 | +77% | 39No options | $467M |
| SJT San Juan Basin Royalty Trust | 4.58 | - | - | 45Weak | $213M |
| SD SandRidge Energy, Inc. | 14.04 | 22.70 | +38% | 74Good | $521M |
| EXCE EXCO Resources, Inc. | 25.50 | 21.82 | -17% | 27No options | $550M |
| WTI W&T Offshore, Inc. | 3.65 | 7.87 | +54% | 45Weak | $551M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about FTW
Is FTW undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 10.03 the stock is 100% below the average fair value of 4,639.33 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of FTW and what does it mean?
FTW scores 66 out of 100 (Good). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for FTW?
4,639.33 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 7 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Presidio Production Company report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 5 Nov 2026, 20 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does FTW have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 82 listed contracts with 6,098 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 37% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.