Stock fact sheet · data as of
EXCO Resources, Inc. (EXCE): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol EXCE · Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · United States · Speculative
Is EXCE undervalued?
EXCE closed at 24.01 on 5 Nov 2026, which is 10% above the GLS average fair value of 21.82 from 1 models. 1 of them value the shares below today's price. Our scans read that as "no margin of safety": the stock is not a value candidate at this price, whatever the quality numbers say.
The average is built from just 1 models (10 Cap) - the rest returned nothing because an input they need (dividends, free cash flow, book value) is zero or negative - so treat it with more caution than usual.
The nightly engine files EXCE under Speculative - it is losing money or its Piotroski health score is 3 or lower - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for EXCE
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | 21.82 | -9% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -87.52 | -465% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 0.0000 | -100% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
EXCO Resources, Inc. scores 5 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that falls one point short of the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. A GLS Moat score of 1.9/10 is a weak reading: the accounts do not show returns and margins that competitors have been unable to wear down, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 33.0%, ROE 17.8%, ROA -17.7% - with debt at -0.46 times equity and negative free cash flow.
EXCO Resources, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain.
Institutional ownership scores 5/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | 33.0% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 1.9 / 10 | ROE | 17.8% |
| Debt / equity | -0.46 | ROA | -17.7% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -3.3% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 5 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 14: No options
No options are listed on EXCO Resources, Inc. in our nightly snapshot, so it fails the first Wheel Trade Filter (options that actually trade) (it reads 14, under 70) and is left out of every options scan; the fair value and health figures above are still useful for a plain stock position.
Volume runs at 4k shares a day on a market cap of $518M, with a beta of 1.06; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that fair.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Fails | no listed options |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Fails | speculative (a loss, or a weak Piotroski score) |
| 3 | Below fair value | Fails | trades 10% above our fair value |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Fails | Piotroski 5/9 (under 6) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Fails | no implied volatility |
| 8 | Big enough | Fails | market cap $518M (under $1.0B) |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Weak | 10% above fair value | |
| Premium | Weak | no option data | |
| Moat | Weak | moat 1.9/10 | |
| Health | Fair | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Red Flags | Fair | not scored yet - half marks | |
| Option trading | Weak | no option volume data | |
| Stability | Fair | beta 1.06, $518M company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for EXCE in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
The 12 companies below are the closest to EXCO Resources, Inc. by market cap within the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI W&T Offshore, Inc. | 3.21 | 9.52 | +66% | 44Weak | $497M |
| EGY VAALCO Energy, Inc. | 5.40 | 2.45 | -120% | 37Weak | $568M |
| SD SandRidge Energy, Inc. | 12.60 | 27.38 | +54% | 49Weak | $467M |
| GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc | 4.63 | 4.45 | -4% | 26Weak | $611M |
| GPRK GeoPark Limited | 9.43 | 21.78 | +57% | 51Fair | $612M |
| OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. | 9.21 | 2.75 | -235% | 31Weak | $615M |
| VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. | 14.67 | 34.34 | +57% | 43Weak | $618M |
| ZNOG Zion Oil & Gas, Inc. | 0.3500 | 0.0073 | -4680% | 12No options | $417M |
| GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. | 5.66 | 26.74 | +79% | 30No options | $410M |
| TXO TXO Partners, L.P. | 13.09 | 34.48 | +62% | 42Weak | $726M |
| GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. | 10.05 | 65.81 | +85% | 42Weak | $356M |
| FTW Presidio Production Company | 10.01 | 4,946.19 | +100% | 48Weak | $315M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about EXCE
Is EXCE undervalued right now?
No: at 24.01 the stock trades 10% above the GLS average fair value of 21.82 (data as of 5 Nov 2026). The margin of safety is negative.
What is the Wheel Score of EXCE and what does it mean?
EXCE has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; it fails the first Wheel Trade Filter (options that actually trade), stays under 70 and is shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for EXCE?
21.82 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 1 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does EXCO Resources, Inc. report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for EXCE in our calendar as of 5 Nov 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does EXCE have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on EXCE, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score stays under 70.