Stock fact sheet · data as of
Intrepid Potash, Inc. (IPI): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol IPI · Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs · United States · Blend
Is IPI undervalued?
At 31.28 (close of 5 Nov 2026), IPI trades within a few percent of the GLS average fair value of 33.00 (5.2% below fair value). 8 models produced a value and they split 3 above the price to 5 below. A stock priced at fair value earns about half of the Wheel Score's Value points; the rest of the score comes from health, moat, premium and stability.
The 8 models disagree widely: GLS Growth gives 5.39 while 10 Cap gives 79.94. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
Ranked against every other company we cover, neither cheapness nor growth clearly wins for IPI, so the nightly engine files it under Blend (value score 58, growth score 46, out of 100).
Nine valuation models for IPI
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 9.18 | -71% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 40.29 | +29% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 29.69 | -5% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 7.36 | -76% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 5.39 | -83% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 79.94 | +156% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 71.67 | +129% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 20.45 | -35% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 7.01 | -78% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 29.00 | -7% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - IPI passes 6 of the nine Piotroski tests, which passes the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is low at 2.3 out of 10: returns on capital, margins or the balance sheet have not shown a lasting edge yet - often a young company, a thin-margin business or one that has only recently turned profitable.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 2.3%, ROE 2.3%, ROA 1.8% - with debt at 0.01 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 11.7%.
Intrepid Potash, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Mineral 97%, Brines 1%, Salt 1% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 8/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 6 / 9 | ROIC | 2.3% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.3 / 10 | ROE | 2.3% |
| Debt / equity | 0.01 | ROA | 1.8% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 11.7% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 8 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 33: Weak
IPI scores 33 out of 100 on the Wheel Score, in the Weak band (under 50): it fails filter 8, big enough - market cap $421M (under $1.0B), and the parts are thin too - value weak, premium strong, moat weak, health good, red flags good, option trading weak, stability fair. The score is not a judgement on the company; it says the price, quality and premium do not line up for selling puts on it today.
Implied volatility is 42% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% sweet spot the Wheel Score rewards most: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is thin - 1,557 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 367k shares a day on a market cap of $421M, with a beta of 1.31 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that fair.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Passes | Listed options with 1,000+ contracts of open interest and 100+ traded a day |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Passes | Profitable over the last twelve months - not a speculative stock, fund or note |
| 3 | Below fair value | Passes | Trading below the nine-model average fair value (margin of safety above 0) |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Passes | Piotroski F-score 6 or more out of 9 (a company with no score on file passes) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Passes | Implied volatility 25-80% (enough premium, not a lottery ticket) |
| 8 | Big enough | Fails | market cap $421M (under $1.0B) |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Weak | 5% below fair value | |
| Premium | Strong | implied volatility 42% | |
| Moat | Weak | moat 2.3/10 | |
| Health | Good | Piotroski 6/9 | |
| Red Flags | Good | Red Flags score 80/100 | |
| Option trading | Weak | 296 contracts a day, 1,557 open interest | |
| Stability | Fair | beta 1.31, $421M company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for IPI in the nightly calendar.
No analyst upgrades or downgrades were recorded in the last 30 days.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Agricultural Inputs
The 12 companies below are the closest to Intrepid Potash, Inc. by market cap within the Agricultural Inputs industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BWEL JG Boswell Company | 593.58 | 1,715.58 | +65% | 29No options | $566M |
| ITFS Itafos Inc. | 1.52 | 2.59 | +42% | 30No options | $295M |
| FMC FMC Corporation | 6.42 | 57.28 | +89% | 37Weak | $804M |
| UAN CVR Partners, LP | 112.02 | 186.77 | +40% | 51Fair | $1.2B |
| SMG The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company | 67.19 | 57.85 | -16% | 32Weak | $3.9B |
| ICL ICL Group Ltd | 4.58 | 4.07 | -12% | 37Weak | $5.9B |
| AVD American Vanguard Corporation | 0.9759 | - | - | 9Weak | $29M |
| MOS The Mosaic Company | 21.61 | 21.49 | -1% | 32Weak | $6.9B |
| CTVA Corteva, Inc. | 12.26 | 4.89 | -151% | 37Weak | $8.2B |
| BIOX Bioceres Crop Solutions Corp. | 0.2534 | 18.64 | +99% | 27Weak | $16M |
| CF CF Industries Holdings, Inc. | 111.68 | 179.03 | +38% | 91Prime | $16.9B |
| SEED Origin Agritech Limited | 0.7202 | - | - | 8No options | $10M |
Scan the whole market the same way
A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the top 10 stocks that pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about IPI
Is IPI undervalued right now?
Not meaningfully: at 31.28 the stock trades within a few percent of the GLS average fair value of 33.00 (5.2% below fair value, data as of 5 Nov 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of IPI and what does it mean?
IPI scores 33 out of 100 (Weak) - it fails Wheel Trade Filter 8. The Wheel Score ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned - in two parts: the 9 pass/fail Wheel Trade Filters (busy options, a real business, below fair value, Piotroski 6 or more, debt it can repay, a Red Flags score of 60 or more, implied volatility of 25-80%, a $1 billion company, $5 a share) and a ranking of how strongly a stock passes on value, premium, moat, health, red flags, option trading and stability. A stock that fails any filter stays under 70; 70-84 is Good, 85 and above is Prime. The Sunday Scan is the top 10 that pass, sorted by Wheel Score.
What is the GLS fair value for IPI?
33.00 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Intrepid Potash, Inc. report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for IPI in our calendar as of 5 Nov 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does IPI have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 74 listed contracts with 1,557 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 42% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.