Stock fact sheet · data as of
Republic Services, Inc. (RSG): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Industrials · Waste Management · United States · Blend
Is RSG undervalued?
At 224.44 (close of 16 Oct 2026), RSG trades 49% over the GLS average fair value of 150.42, with 3 of 9 models above the price. The stock earns none of the Wheel Score's Value points at this price. That is a statement about price against trailing fundamentals, not about the company's prospects - the Wall Street View and the Growth tab on the Quote page carry the forward numbers.
The 9 models disagree widely: DDM gives 37.45 while 10 Cap gives 292.20. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files RSG under Blend.
Nine valuation models for RSG
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 234.92 | +5% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 79.09 | -65% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 191.09 | -15% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 67.52 | -70% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 92.80 | -59% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 292.20 | +30% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 279.73 | +25% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 37.45 | -83% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 78.95 | -65% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -64.90 | -129% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 232.40 | +4% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - RSG passes 5 of the nine Piotroski tests, which falls one point short of the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is 8.9 out of 10, built from ten years of revenue, earnings, margins, cash flow, share count and returns on capital scored for consistency - a high reading that points to a durable business.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 8.3%, ROE 17.9%, ROA 6.2% - with debt at 1.15 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 5.0%.
The dividend yield is 1.13% with a payout ratio of 44% - a small yield that leaves most of the earnings in the business. Revenue comes mainly from Collection 68%, Landfill 12%, Environmental solutions 10% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 7/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 10/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded insider buy was on 11 Sep 2026; the last recorded Congressional buy was on 6 Aug 2026.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | 8.3% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 8.9 / 10 | ROE | 17.9% |
| Debt / equity | 1.15 | ROA | 6.2% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 5.0% | Payout ratio | 44% |
| Institutions | 7 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 10 · 10 / 10 |
Wheel Score 55: Fair
RSG scores 55 out of 100 on the Wheel Score (Fair band, 50-64): a usable but unremarkable fit for the wheel strategy. The parts: Value 0/25, Health 11/20, Moat 13/15, Premium 12/20, Stability 19/20. Value (0/25) is where the points are missing.
Implied volatility is 27% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out: some premium, but under the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for (12 of 20 points). Chain open interest is 6,547 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 1.2M shares a day on a market cap of $68.7B, with a beta of 0.40 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 19 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -49% margin of safety | |
| Health | 11 / 20 | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Moat | 13 / 15 | moat 8.9/10 | |
| Premium | 12 / 20 | implied volatility 27% | |
| Stability | 19 / 20 | 1.2M shares/day, $68.7B cap, beta 0.40 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Republic Services, Inc. reports earnings on 29 Oct 2026 (after the close) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Waste Management
The 12 companies below are the closest to Republic Services, Inc. by market cap within the Waste Management industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WM Waste Management, Inc. | 215.75 | 138.93 | -55% | 61Fair | $86.2B |
| WCN Waste Connections, Inc. | 156.82 | 82.44 | -90% | 67Good | $39.5B |
| CLH Clean Harbors, Inc. | 319.78 | 123.73 | -158% | 65Good | $16.9B |
| GFL GFL Environmental Inc. | 43.55 | 14.38 | -203% | 45Weak | $15.2B |
| CWST Casella Waste Systems, Inc. | 86.50 | 29.10 | -197% | 56Fair | $5.4B |
| NVRI Enviri Corporation | 19.59 | - | - | 45Weak | $552M |
| ONT Onterris, Inc. | 14.07 | 39.73 | +65% | 45Weak | $494M |
| PESI Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc. | 12.80 | - | - | 42Weak | $272M |
| ABAT American Battery Technology Company Common Stock | 1.57 | - | - | 45Weak | $224M |
| ENGS Energys Group Limited | 3.62 | - | - | 29No options | $161M |
| SGLA Sino Green Land Corporation | 0.4898 | 0.0897 | -446% | 15No options | $79M |
| LNZA LanzaTech Global, Inc. | 4.45 | 1,516.59 | +100% | 49Weak | $58M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about RSG
Is RSG undervalued right now?
No: at 224.44 the stock trades 49% above the GLS average fair value of 150.42 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of RSG and what does it mean?
RSG scores 55 out of 100 (Fair). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for RSG?
150.42 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Republic Services, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 29 Oct 2026 (after the close), 13 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does RSG have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 268 listed contracts with 6,547 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 27% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.