Stock fact sheet · data as of
Suzano S.A. (SUZ): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Basic Materials · Paper, Lumber & Forest Products · Brazil · ADR · Defensive
Is SUZ undervalued?
At 8.56 (close of 16 Oct 2026), SUZ trades 82% below the GLS average fair value of 47.28. That average comes from 9 models run on the latest filings, and 8 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns Suzano S.A. the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
The 9 models disagree widely: GLS Growth gives 1.16 while 10 Cap gives 150.97. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files SUZ under Defensive: a low beta, a dividend and positive earnings.
Nine valuation models for SUZ
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 58.47 | +583% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 77.39 | +804% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 36.66 | +328% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 13.14 | +53% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 1.16 | -86% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 150.97 | +1664% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 56.57 | +561% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 16.50 | +93% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 14.67 | +71% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -64.94 | -859% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 12.20 | +43% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Financial health is average - SUZ passes 6 of the nine Piotroski tests, which passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. The Financials tab on the Quote page shows which tests fail. The GLS Moat score is low at 3.9 out of 10, which says the ten-year record of revenue, earnings, margins and returns on capital has been inconsistent - growth and shocks rather than steady compounding.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 8.8%, ROE 30.0%, ROA 7.8% - with debt at 2.43 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 9.4%. Debt of 2.43 times equity is on the high side for the sector and is worth checking against the cash flow before treating the stock as a long-term hold.
The dividend yield is 2.61% at a payout ratio of 17%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold. Revenue comes mainly from Market pulp 76%, Printing and writing paper 17%, Paperboard 8% (fiscal year FY2025).
Institutional ownership scores 1/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 6 / 9 | ROIC | 8.8% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 3.9 / 10 | ROE | 30.0% |
| Debt / equity | 2.43 | ROA | 7.8% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 9.4% | Payout ratio | 17% |
| Institutions | 1 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 10 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 82: Prime
SUZ scores 82 out of 100 on the Wheel Score, in the Prime band (80 and above), which fewer than one stock in twenty reaches on any night. The score blends five things a wheel trader checks before selling a cash-secured put: the margin of safety (Value, 25/25), Piotroski health (13/20), the GLS moat (6/15), the option premium on offer (18/20) and how easily the stock trades (20/20).
Implied volatility is 67% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - above the 60% ceiling of the sweet spot. Premiums are large, but the Wheel Score tapers the Premium points (18 of 20) because volatility this high usually comes with a reason. Chain open interest is thin - 1,672 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 2.6M shares a day on a market cap of $10.6B, with a beta of 0.10 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 20 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 82% margin of safety | |
| Health | 13 / 20 | Piotroski 6/9 | |
| Moat | 6 / 15 | moat 3.9/10 | |
| Premium | 18 / 20 | implied volatility 67% | |
| Stability | 20 / 20 | 2.6M shares/day, $10.6B cap, beta 0.10 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 5 Nov 2026 (after the close), 20 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
The 12 companies below are the closest to Suzano S.A. by market cap within the Paper, Lumber & Forest Products industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IP International Paper Company | 34.09 | 23.45 | -45% | 45Weak | $18.1B |
| WFG West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. | 63.92 | 37.59 | -70% | 41Weak | $4.9B |
| LPX Louisiana-Pacific Corporation | 69.39 | 21.35 | -225% | 51Fair | $4.9B |
| INPAP International Paper Company PFD $4 | 72.00 | 26.52 | -171% | 23No options | $24.0B |
| UFPI UFP Industries, Inc. | 75.75 | 85.13 | +11% | 71Good | $4.2B |
| BCC Boise Cascade Company | 75.48 | 74.85 | -1% | 64Fair | $2.6B |
| SLVM Sylvamo Corp | 32.11 | 71.31 | +55% | 74Good | $1.3B |
| CLW Clearwater Paper Corporation | 19.30 | 52.96 | +64% | 45Weak | $311M |
| KEWL Keweenaw Land Association, Limited | 75.00 | 0.7775 | -9546% | 24No options | $84M |
| MERC Mercer International Inc. | 0.2004 | - | - | 41Weak | $13M |
| JCTC Jewett-Cameron Trading Company Ltd. | 2.92 | 6.51 | +55% | 39No options | $10M |
| NWGL CL Workshop Group Limited | 0.2210 | 0.7237 | +69% | 39No options | $4M |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about SUZ
Is SUZ undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 8.56 the stock is 82% below the average fair value of 47.28 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of SUZ and what does it mean?
SUZ scores 82 out of 100 (Prime). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for SUZ?
47.28 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Suzano S.A. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 5 Nov 2026 (after the close), 20 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does SUZ have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 68 listed contracts with 1,672 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 67% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.