Stock fact sheet · data as of
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · United States · Blend
Is CBRL undervalued?
At 67.41 (close of 16 Oct 2026), CBRL trades 131% over the GLS average fair value of 29.15, with 2 of 9 models above the price. The stock earns none of the Wheel Score's Value points at this price. That is a statement about price against trailing fundamentals, not about the company's prospects - the Wall Street View and the Growth tab on the Quote page carry the forward numbers.
There is a wide gap between DCF (2.87) and 10 Cap (102.34). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files CBRL under Blend.
Nine valuation models for CBRL
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 2.87 | -96% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 26.12 | -61% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 22.86 | -66% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 5.67 | -92% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 4.15 | -94% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 102.34 | +52% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 67.90 | +1% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 14.71 | -78% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 15.75 | -77% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -56.74 | -184% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 53.00 | -21% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store scores 5 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that falls one point short of the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. A GLS Moat score of 2.3/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 2.1%, ROE 6.6%, ROA 1.6% - with debt at 2.17 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 6.0%. Debt of 2.17 times equity is on the high side for the sector and is worth checking against the cash flow before treating the stock as a long-term hold.
The dividend yield is 1.48% with a payout ratio of 73% - a small yield that leaves most of the earnings in the business. Revenue comes mainly from Restaurant 82%, Retail 18% (quarter Q4 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales; the last recorded insider buy was on 30 Sep 2026.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | 2.1% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.3 / 10 | ROE | 6.6% |
| Debt / equity | 2.17 | ROA | 1.6% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 6.0% | Payout ratio | 73% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 50: Fair
A Wheel Score of 50 puts Cracker Barrel Old Country Store in the Fair band - below the 70 the Sunday Scan requires. Value 0/25, Health 11/20, Moat 3/15, Premium 20/20 and Stability 16/20; the weakest part is Value (0/25).
Implied volatility is 51% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. The option chain is deep: 50,735 contracts of open interest across all expiries, which means tight fills at most strikes.
Volume runs at 1.4M shares a day on a market cap of $1.5B, with a beta of 1.21 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 16 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0 / 25 | -131% margin of safety | |
| Health | 11 / 20 | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Moat | 3 / 15 | moat 2.3/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 51% | |
| Stability | 16 / 20 | 1.4M shares/day, $1.5B cap, beta 1.21 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 8 Dec 2026, 53 days away - outside the window of a 30-45-day put sold today. The shares go ex-dividend on 16 Oct 2026 (0.2500 per share), so a covered call sold before then carries a small early-assignment risk around that date.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Restaurants
The 12 companies below are the closest to Cracker Barrel Old Country Store by market cap within the Restaurants industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BH Biglari Holdings Inc. | 425.17 | 215.68 | -97% | 21No options | $1.4B |
| ARCO Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. | 8.06 | 20.68 | +61% | 81Prime | $1.7B |
| BJRI BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 60.22 | 56.95 | -6% | 69Good | $1.3B |
| WEN The Wendy's Company | 6.44 | 23.87 | +73% | 83Prime | $1.2B |
| SG Sweetgreen, Inc. | 10.14 | 1.92 | -427% | 31Weak | $1.2B |
| CHA Chagee Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares | 12.44 | 63.22 | +80% | 39No options | $2.4B |
| BLMN Bloomin' Brands, Inc. | 9.93 | 11.85 | +16% | 68Good | $850M |
| SHAK Shake Shack Inc. | 68.77 | 27.84 | -147% | 54Fair | $2.8B |
| FWRG First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. | 12.36 | 9.69 | -28% | 54Fair | $763M |
| CNNE Cannae Holdings, Inc. | 16.23 | 8.83 | -84% | 43Weak | $704M |
| WING Wingstop Inc. | 122.90 | 137.21 | +10% | 69Good | $3.3B |
| HDL SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING Ltd. American Depositary Shares | 10.78 | 22.32 | +52% | 39No options | $634M |
⚖ Compare CBRL with 7 of them All Consumer Cyclical stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about CBRL
Is CBRL undervalued right now?
No: at 67.41 the stock trades 131% above the GLS average fair value of 29.15 (data as of 16 Oct 2026), well beyond what trailing earnings, cash flow and book value support.
What is the Wheel Score of CBRL and what does it mean?
CBRL scores 50 out of 100 (Fair). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for CBRL?
29.15 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Cracker Barrel Old Country Store report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 8 Dec 2026, 53 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does CBRL have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 428 listed contracts with 50,735 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 51% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.