Stock fact sheet · data as of
Exzeo Group, Inc. (XZO): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol XZO · Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified · United States · Growth
Is XZO undervalued?
At 19.33 (close of 5 Nov 2026), XZO trades 30% below the GLS average fair value of 27.77. That average comes from 7 models run on the latest filings, and 4 of them land above the current price. Margins of safety over 30% are the exception rather than the rule across the ~7,400 stocks we value each night, so the number earns Exzeo Group, Inc. the full Value points in the Wheel Score - and a closer look at what the market is pricing in.
There is a wide gap between Graham Number (8.45) and GLS Growth (59.26). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
Ranked against every other company we cover, XZO is clearly faster-growing than it is cheap, so the nightly engine files it under Growth (value score 36, growth score 89, out of 100).
Nine valuation models for XZO
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | 8.45 | -56% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 39.20 | +103% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 15.93 | -18% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 59.26 | +207% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 24.79 | +28% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 35.99 | +86% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 10.76 | -44% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | 2.58 | -87% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 24.00 | +24% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Exzeo Group, Inc. scores 7 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, the nine yes/no tests of profitability, leverage and efficiency on the latest annual accounts - a strong reading that passes the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter with room to spare. On durability XZO scores 6.5/10 on the GLS Moat - a middle reading; the Moat Score tab on the Quote page's Financials view shows which of the four parts hold it back.
Returns on capital are high - ROIC 31.7%, ROE 32.6%, ROA 23.8% - with debt at 0.03 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 4.7%.
Exzeo Group, Inc. pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain. Revenue comes mainly from Technology Service 100% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 1/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 7 / 9 | ROIC | 31.7% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 6.5 / 10 | ROE | 32.6% |
| Debt / equity | 0.03 | ROA | 23.8% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 4.7% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 1 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 10 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 35: No options
No options are listed on Exzeo Group, Inc. in our nightly snapshot, so it fails the first Wheel Trade Filter (options that actually trade) (it reads 35, under 70) and is left out of every options scan; the fair value and health figures above are still useful for a plain stock position.
Volume runs at 608k shares a day on a market cap of $1.7B, with a beta of 0.50 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that fair.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Fails | no listed options |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Passes | Profitable over the last twelve months - not a speculative stock, fund or note |
| 3 | Below fair value | Passes | Trading below the nine-model average fair value (margin of safety above 0) |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Passes | Piotroski F-score 6 or more out of 9 (a company with no score on file passes) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Fails | no implied volatility |
| 8 | Big enough | Passes | Market cap $1 billion or more |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Strong | 30% below fair value | |
| Premium | Weak | no option data | |
| Moat | Good | moat 6.5/10 | |
| Health | Good | Piotroski 7/9 | |
| Red Flags | Fair | not scored yet - half marks | |
| Option trading | Weak | no option volume data | |
| Stability | Fair | beta 0.50, $1.7B company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 9 Dec 2026, 34 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Insurance - Diversified
The 12 companies below are the closest to Exzeo Group, Inc. by market cap within the Insurance - Diversified industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLGO Pelagos Insurance Capital Limit | 27.42 | 144.15 | +81% | 36No options | $2.3B |
| IGIC International General Insurance Holdings Ltd. | 24.27 | 64.86 | +63% | 47Weak | $1.0B |
| GNW Genworth Financial, Inc. | 9.19 | 14.89 | +38% | 76Good | $3.5B |
| WTM White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. | 2,376.30 | 8,914.92 | +73% | 34No options | $5.7B |
| AXS AXIS Capital Holdings Limited | 107.78 | 470.12 | +77% | 46Weak | $7.7B |
| KWY Kingsway Corporation | 10.01 | - | - | 31Weak | $290M |
| AEG Aegon Ltd. | 8.58 | 10.13 | +15% | 70Good | $13.0B |
| AEFC Aegon Funding Company LLC | 17.80 | 22.69 | +22% | 25No options | $13.8B |
| BNT Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd. | 43.08 | 55.05 | +22% | 40Weak | $14.3B |
| HIG The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. | 138.11 | 378.41 | +64% | 73Good | $36.9B |
| ACGLO Arch Capital Group Ltd. | 18.33 | 141.94 | +87% | 39No options | $37.8B |
| ACGLN Arch Capital Group Ltd. | 15.11 | 133.92 | +89% | 39No options | $37.8B |
⚖ Compare XZO with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about XZO
Is XZO undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 19.33 the stock is 30% below the average fair value of 27.77 (data as of 5 Nov 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of XZO and what does it mean?
XZO has no listed options in our nightly snapshot, so it cannot be wheeled; it fails the first Wheel Trade Filter (options that actually trade), stays under 70 and is shown as "No options".
What is the GLS fair value for XZO?
27.77 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 7 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Exzeo Group, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 9 Dec 2026, 34 days from the data date of 5 Nov 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does XZO have listed options, and how liquid are they?
No. The nightly options snapshot found no listed contracts on XZO, so the wheel strategy cannot be run on it and the Wheel Score stays under 70.