Stock fact sheet · data as of
Avery Dennison Corporation (AVY): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers · United States · Blend
Is AVY undervalued?
Avery Dennison Corporation (AVY) closed at 175.88 on 16 Oct 2026, 13% above the GLS average fair value of 155.64. Only 3 of the 9 models that produced a number value the shares above the current price. The margin of safety is negative, so the stock fails the "below fair value" rule of the Sunday Scan; a premium of this size is common for companies whose growth the models are conservative about.
The 9 models disagree widely: GLS Growth gives 21.40 while 10 Cap gives 358.55. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files AVY under Blend.
Nine valuation models for AVY
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 149.85 | -15% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 79.13 | -55% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 273.53 | +56% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 100.81 | -43% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 21.40 | -88% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 358.55 | +104% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 258.28 | +47% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 57.09 | -68% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 102.12 | -42% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -47.06 | -127% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 196.20 | +12% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
On financial health AVY scores 7/9 (Piotroski): most of the nine tests - positive earnings and cash flow, falling debt, rising margins and turnover - are passed, which is the kind of balance sheet a wheel trader is happy to be assigned. The GLS Moat score is 5.7 out of 10: a ten-year record that is consistent in some of the metrics the score tracks (revenue, earnings, margins, cash flow, returns on capital) and patchy in others.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 11.5%, ROE 30.7%, ROA 7.8% - with debt at 1.66 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 8.0%.
The dividend yield is 2.21% at a payout ratio of 42%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold. Revenue comes mainly from Materials Group 73%, Solutions Group 27% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 2/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 7 / 9 | ROIC | 11.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 5.7 / 10 | ROE | 30.7% |
| Debt / equity | 1.66 | ROA | 7.8% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 8.0% | Payout ratio | 42% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 2 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 64: Fair
AVY scores 64 out of 100 on the Wheel Score (Fair band, 50-64): a usable but unremarkable fit for the wheel strategy. The parts: Value 7/25, Health 16/20, Moat 9/15, Premium 16/20, Stability 16/20. Value (7/25) is where the points are missing.
Implied volatility is 31% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out: some premium, but under the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for (16 of 20 points). Chain open interest is thin - 1,590 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 537k shares a day on a market cap of $13.3B, with a beta of 0.80; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 16 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 7 / 25 | -13% margin of safety | |
| Health | 16 / 20 | Piotroski 7/9 | |
| Moat | 9 / 15 | moat 5.7/10 | |
| Premium | 16 / 20 | implied volatility 31% | |
| Stability | 16 / 20 | 537k shares/day, $13.3B cap, beta 0.80 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Avery Dennison Corporation reports earnings on 28 Oct 2026 (before the open) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Packaging & Containers
The 12 companies below are the closest to Avery Dennison Corporation by market cap within the Packaging & Containers industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCK Crown Holdings, Inc. | 113.68 | 155.17 | +27% | 82Prime | $12.4B |
| BALL Ball Corporation | 62.80 | 78.56 | +20% | 84Prime | $16.6B |
| AMCR Amcor plc | 43.74 | 46.21 | +5% | 73Good | $20.2B |
| PKG Packaging Corporation of America | 229.96 | 150.88 | -52% | 56Fair | $20.5B |
| SW Smurfit Westrock plc | 40.75 | 35.10 | -16% | 67Good | $21.4B |
| SON Sonoco Products Company | 49.12 | 91.55 | +46% | 78Good | $4.9B |
| SLGN Silgan Holdings Inc. | 35.81 | 50.05 | +28% | 81Prime | $3.8B |
| GEF Greif, Inc. | 80.04 | 124.10 | +36% | 77Good | $3.7B |
| AMBP Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. | 4.67 | 5.01 | +7% | 69Good | $2.8B |
| GPK Graphic Packaging Holding Company | 8.73 | 16.62 | +47% | 81Prime | $2.6B |
| TRS TriMas Corporation | 38.43 | 370.13 | +90% | 78Good | $1.4B |
| MYE Myers Industries, Inc. | 31.03 | 24.69 | -26% | 52Fair | $1.2B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about AVY
Is AVY undervalued right now?
No: at 175.88 the stock trades 13% above the GLS average fair value of 155.64 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). The margin of safety is negative.
What is the Wheel Score of AVY and what does it mean?
AVY scores 64 out of 100 (Fair). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for AVY?
155.64 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Avery Dennison Corporation report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 28 Oct 2026 (before the open), 12 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does AVY have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 256 listed contracts with 1,590 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 31% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.