Stock fact sheet · data as of
Crown Holdings, Inc. (CCK): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers · United States · Value
Is CCK undervalued?
CCK closed at 113.68 on 16 Oct 2026, 27% below the GLS average fair value of 155.17 from 9 models (5 of them above the price). That is a moderate margin of safety: the stock passes the "below fair value" rule of the Sunday Scan, and the Wheel Score gives it 24 of the 25 Value points.
There is a wide gap between DDM (19.28) and DCF (308.51). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
The nightly engine files CCK under Value: positive earnings at a P/E of 18 or less.
Nine valuation models for CCK
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 308.51 | +171% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 64.99 | -43% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 169.65 | +49% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 56.32 | -50% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 116.52 | +3% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 293.85 | +158% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 287.88 | +153% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 19.28 | -83% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 79.55 | -30% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -58.88 | -152% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 125.50 | +10% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Crown Holdings, Inc. scores 7 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score, the nine yes/no tests of profitability, leverage and efficiency on the latest annual accounts - a strong reading that passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule with room to spare. On durability CCK scores 5.9/10 on the GLS Moat - a middle reading; the Scorecard on the Quote page's Financials tab shows which ten-year lines are steady and which are not.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 8.0%, ROE 24.5%, ROA 5.1% - with debt at 2.06 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 9.5%. Debt of 2.06 times equity is on the high side for the sector and is worth checking against the cash flow before treating the stock as a long-term hold.
The dividend yield is 1.15% with a payout ratio of 17% - a small yield that leaves most of the earnings in the business. Revenue comes mainly from Americas Beverage 57%, European Beverage 25%, Transit Packaging 18% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 7 / 9 | ROIC | 8.0% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 5.9 / 10 | ROE | 24.5% |
| Debt / equity | 2.06 | ROA | 5.1% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 9.5% | Payout ratio | 17% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 82: Prime
With a Wheel Score of 82, Crown Holdings, Inc. sits in the Prime band - price, quality and premium all line up for the wheel strategy. The parts: Value 24/25, Health 16/20, Moat 9/15, Premium 16/20, Stability 18/20. A high score is a ranking, not a signal: it says nothing about timing, the earnings date or your position size.
Implied volatility is 31% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out: some premium, but under the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for (16 of 20 points). Chain open interest is 6,774 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 1.1M shares a day on a market cap of $12.4B, with a beta of 0.56 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 18 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 24 / 25 | 27% margin of safety | |
| Health | 16 / 20 | Piotroski 7/9 | |
| Moat | 9 / 15 | moat 5.9/10 | |
| Premium | 16 / 20 | implied volatility 31% | |
| Stability | 18 / 20 | 1.1M shares/day, $12.4B cap, beta 0.56 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Crown Holdings, Inc. reports earnings on 19 Oct 2026 (after the close) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Packaging & Containers
The 12 companies below are the closest to Crown Holdings, Inc. by market cap within the Packaging & Containers industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVY Avery Dennison Corporation | 175.88 | 155.64 | -13% | 64Fair | $13.3B |
| BALL Ball Corporation | 62.80 | 78.56 | +20% | 84Prime | $16.6B |
| AMCR Amcor plc | 43.74 | 46.21 | +5% | 73Good | $20.2B |
| PKG Packaging Corporation of America | 229.96 | 150.88 | -52% | 56Fair | $20.5B |
| SW Smurfit Westrock plc | 40.75 | 35.10 | -16% | 67Good | $21.4B |
| SON Sonoco Products Company | 49.12 | 91.55 | +46% | 78Good | $4.9B |
| SLGN Silgan Holdings Inc. | 35.81 | 50.05 | +28% | 81Prime | $3.8B |
| GEF Greif, Inc. | 80.04 | 124.10 | +36% | 77Good | $3.7B |
| AMBP Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. | 4.67 | 5.01 | +7% | 69Good | $2.8B |
| GPK Graphic Packaging Holding Company | 8.73 | 16.62 | +47% | 81Prime | $2.6B |
| TRS TriMas Corporation | 38.43 | 370.13 | +90% | 78Good | $1.4B |
| MYE Myers Industries, Inc. | 31.03 | 24.69 | -26% | 52Fair | $1.2B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about CCK
Is CCK undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, moderately: at 113.68 the stock trades 27% below the average fair value of 155.17 (data as of 16 Oct 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of CCK and what does it mean?
CCK scores 82 out of 100 (Prime). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for CCK?
155.17 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Crown Holdings, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 19 Oct 2026 (after the close), 3 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does CCK have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 256 listed contracts with 6,774 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 31% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.