Stock fact sheet · data as of
Birkenstock Holding plc (BIRK): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Consumer Cyclical · Apparel - Footwear & Accessories · United Kingdom · High Growth
Is BIRK undervalued?
BIRK closed at 35.89 on 16 Oct 2026, 24% below the GLS average fair value of 47.44 from 8 models (5 of them above the price). That is a moderate margin of safety: the stock passes the "below fair value" rule of the Sunday Scan, and the Wheel Score gives it 23 of the 25 Value points.
The 8 models disagree widely: EPV gives 23.33 while Graham Growth gives 93.25. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files BIRK under High Growth: revenue and earnings growing fast enough that the growth-based models carry the valuation.
Nine valuation models for BIRK
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 26.48 | -26% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 25.47 | -29% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 93.25 | +160% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 38.76 | +8% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 71.34 | +99% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 49.60 | +38% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 51.26 | +43% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | - | - | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend; no value tonight |
| EPV | 23.33 | -35% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -5.31 | -115% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 47.65 | +33% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
On financial health BIRK scores 7/9 (Piotroski): most of the nine tests - positive earnings and cash flow, falling debt, rising margins and turnover - are passed, which is the kind of balance sheet a wheel trader is happy to be assigned. The GLS Moat score is 7.7 out of 10, built from ten years of revenue, earnings, margins, cash flow, share count and returns on capital scored for consistency - a high reading that points to a durable business.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 8.6%, ROE 12.8%, ROA 7.0% - with debt at 0.48 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 5.0%.
Birkenstock Holding plc pays no dividend, so the DDM model does not apply and a covered-call holder earns only the premium and any price gain.
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 7 / 9 | ROIC | 8.6% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 7.7 / 10 | ROE | 12.8% |
| Debt / equity | 0.48 | ROA | 7.0% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 5.0% | Payout ratio | 0% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 89: Prime
BIRK scores 89 out of 100 on the Wheel Score, in the Prime band (80 and above), which fewer than one stock in twenty reaches on any night. The score blends five things a wheel trader checks before selling a cash-secured put: the margin of safety (Value, 23/25), Piotroski health (16/20), the GLS moat (12/15), the option premium on offer (20/20) and how easily the stock trades (19/20).
Implied volatility is 49% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. The option chain is deep: 104,163 contracts of open interest across all expiries, which means tight fills at most strikes.
Volume runs at 1.9M shares a day on a market cap of $6.4B, with a beta of 1.30 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 19 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 23 / 25 | 24% margin of safety | |
| Health | 16 / 20 | Piotroski 7/9 | |
| Moat | 12 / 15 | moat 7.7/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 49% | |
| Stability | 19 / 20 | 1.9M shares/day, $6.4B cap, beta 1.30 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for BIRK in the nightly calendar.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Apparel - Footwear & Accessories
The 12 companies below are the closest to Birkenstock Holding plc by market cap within the Apparel - Footwear & Accessories industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CROX Crocs, Inc. | 124.77 | 171.39 | +27% | 81Prime | $6.0B |
| ONON On Holding AG | 35.19 | 42.50 | +17% | 80Prime | $11.6B |
| DECK Deckers Outdoor Corporation | 86.58 | 217.72 | +60% | 95Prime | $11.8B |
| SHOO Steven Madden, Ltd. | 44.74 | 35.40 | -26% | 57Fair | $3.3B |
| CPRI Capri Holdings Limited | 15.85 | 17.49 | +9% | 75Good | $1.8B |
| WWW Wolverine World Wide, Inc. | 18.83 | 33.55 | +44% | 80Prime | $1.5B |
| REF Reformation Inc. (California) | 13.56 | 0.3499 | -3775% | 34Weak | $801M |
| NKE NIKE, Inc. | 37.14 | 39.84 | +7% | 73Good | $55.2B |
| WEYS Weyco Group, Inc. | 52.46 | 60.67 | +14% | 39No options | $501M |
| FOSL Fossil Group, Inc. | 6.88 | - | - | 43Weak | $407M |
| RCKY Rocky Brands, Inc. | 45.12 | 36.04 | -25% | 27No options | $338M |
| DBI Designer Brands Inc. | 6.42 | 14.85 | +57% | 74Good | $328M |
⚖ Compare BIRK with 7 of them All Consumer Cyclical stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about BIRK
Is BIRK undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, moderately: at 35.89 the stock trades 24% below the average fair value of 47.44 (data as of 16 Oct 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of BIRK and what does it mean?
BIRK scores 89 out of 100 (Prime). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for BIRK?
47.44 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 8 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Birkenstock Holding plc report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for BIRK in our calendar as of 16 Oct 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does BIRK have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 238 listed contracts with 104,163 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 49% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.