Stock fact sheet · data as of
CNA Financial Corporation (CNA): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty · United States · High Yield Income
Is CNA undervalued?
CNA has a margin of safety of 55%: the stock closed at 47.31 on 16 Oct 2026 against a GLS average fair value of 105.66. 8 of the 9 valuation models that produced a number sit above the price. Our screens treat a discount this large as a strong starting point for a cash-secured put, not as a verdict - the fair value is a model output, and a wide gap can mean the models are missing something the market knows.
The 9 models disagree widely: Lynch gives 40.61 while Payback Time gives 225.07. A spread that wide means the average is sensitive to which methods you trust; the model table below shows where each one lands, and the Quote page lets you switch any of them off.
The nightly engine files CNA under High Yield Income: a dividend yield above 4%.
Nine valuation models for CNA
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 127.17 | +169% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 68.02 | +44% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 120.80 | +155% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 40.61 | -14% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 85.37 | +80% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 171.21 | +262% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 225.07 | +376% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 57.39 | +21% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 55.33 | +17% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -159.23 | -437% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 45.00 | -5% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
On financial health CNA scores 7/9 (Piotroski): most of the nine tests - positive earnings and cash flow, falling debt, rising margins and turnover - are passed, which is the kind of balance sheet a wheel trader is happy to be assigned. The GLS Moat score is 6.7 out of 10: a ten-year record that is consistent in some of the metrics the score tracks (revenue, earnings, margins, cash flow, returns on capital) and patchy in others.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 8.8%, ROE 11.0%, ROA 1.8% - with debt at 0.26 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 17.6%.
The dividend yield is high at 8.24% (payout ratio 79%). A yield this size is often the market's way of pricing a risk to the payout, so the health score and cash flow matter more than usual. Revenue comes mainly from Commercial 44%, Specialty 37%, Rest of world 10% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 1/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 7 / 9 | ROIC | 8.8% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 6.7 / 10 | ROE | 11.0% |
| Debt / equity | 0.26 | ROA | 1.8% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 17.6% | Payout ratio | 79% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 1 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 87: Prime
CNA scores 87 out of 100 on the Wheel Score, in the Prime band (80 and above), which fewer than one stock in twenty reaches on any night. The score blends five things a wheel trader checks before selling a cash-secured put: the margin of safety (Value, 25/25), Piotroski health (16/20), the GLS moat (10/15), the option premium on offer (20/20) and how easily the stock trades (17/20).
Implied volatility is 38% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is thin - 1,779 contracts across every expiry - so fills at a fair price are not guaranteed; a 30-45-day put may not exist at a usable strike.
Volume runs at 613k shares a day on a market cap of $12.8B, with a beta of 0.27 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 17 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25 / 25 | 55% margin of safety | |
| Health | 16 / 20 | Piotroski 7/9 | |
| Moat | 10 / 15 | moat 6.7/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 38% | |
| Stability | 17 / 20 | 613k shares/day, $12.8B cap, beta 0.27 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
The next earnings report is due on 2 Nov 2026 (before the open), 17 days away; a 30-45-day put sold today would expire after it, which is worth weighing against the premium.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Insurance - Property & Casualty
The 12 companies below are the closest to CNA Financial Corporation by market cap within the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFG American Financial Group, Inc. | 145.73 | 182.51 | +20% | 67Good | $12.1B |
| AIZ Assurant, Inc. | 281.87 | 513.45 | +45% | 87Prime | $13.9B |
| AIZN Assurant, Inc. 5.25% Subordinat | 17.18 | 154.79 | +89% | 39No options | $14.0B |
| ERIE Erie Indemnity Company | 238.69 | 218.24 | -9% | 69Good | $11.0B |
| ORI Old Republic International Corporation | 38.67 | 81.52 | +53% | 78Good | $9.3B |
| KNSL Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. | 357.49 | 648.69 | +45% | 85Prime | $8.1B |
| THG The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | 226.17 | 567.49 | +60% | 79Good | $7.9B |
| L Loews Corporation | 108.79 | 231.90 | +53% | 82Prime | $22.2B |
| MKL Markel Corporation | 1,824.54 | 5,307.56 | +66% | 68Good | $22.6B |
| CINF Cincinnati Financial Corporation | 167.22 | 449.78 | +63% | 84Prime | $25.7B |
| WRB W. R. Berkley Corporation | 73.80 | 95.04 | +22% | 85Prime | $27.4B |
| MCY Mercury General Corporation | 101.79 | 362.23 | +72% | 82Prime | $5.6B |
⚖ Compare CNA with 7 of them All Financial Services stocks →
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about CNA
Is CNA undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, yes: at 47.31 the stock is 55% below the average fair value of 105.66 (data as of 16 Oct 2026). Whether the discount is deserved is the question to research next.
What is the Wheel Score of CNA and what does it mean?
CNA scores 87 out of 100 (Prime). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for CNA?
105.66 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does CNA Financial Corporation report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 2 Nov 2026 (before the open), 17 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does CNA have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 100 listed contracts with 1,779 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 38% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.