Stock fact sheet · data as of
Dana Incorporated (DAN): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Parts · United States · Speculative / Distressed
Is DAN undervalued?
Dana Incorporated (DAN) closed at 28.49 on 16 Oct 2026, close to the GLS average fair value of 29.24 (2.6% below fair value). 1 of the 2 models that produced a number sit above the price, 1 below - the market and our models roughly agree. With little margin of safety either way, the case for or against the stock rests on the quality numbers and the option premium rather than on price.
The average is built from just 2 models (10 Cap, DDM) - the rest returned nothing because an input they need (dividends, free cash flow, book value) is zero or negative - so treat it with more caution than usual.
The nightly engine files DAN under Speculative / Distressed - negative earnings or a Piotroski score of 3 or less - which caps its Wheel Score at 45 and keeps it out of the Sunday Scan.
Nine valuation models for DAN
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | - | - | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital; no value tonight |
| Graham Number | - | - | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share; no value tonight |
| Graham Growth | - | - | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields; no value tonight |
| Lynch | - | - | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25%; no value tonight |
| GLS Growth | - | - | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year; no value tonight |
| 10 Cap | 51.70 | +81% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | - | - | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself; no value tonight |
| DDM | 6.77 | -76% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | - | - | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth; no value tonight |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -28.07 | -199% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 36.00 | +26% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Dana Incorporated scores 6 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that passes the Sunday Scan's "6 or more" rule. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. A GLS Moat score of 2.3/10 is a weak reading: the ten-year history the score grades (revenue, EPS, book value, margins, cash flow, share count, ROIC) has not been steady, so the Moat part of the Wheel Score contributes little.
Returns on capital are thin or negative - ROIC 1.9%, ROE 9.9%, ROA 1.1% - with debt at 4.09 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 4.3%. Debt of 4.09 times equity is on the high side for the sector and is worth checking against the cash flow before treating the stock as a long-term hold.
The dividend yield is 1.61% at a payout ratio of -26%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold. Revenue comes mainly from Off Highway 50%, Light Vehicle 35%, Commercial Vehicle 15% (quarter Q3 FY2025).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 5/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 6 / 9 | ROIC | 1.9% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 2.3 / 10 | ROE | 9.9% |
| Debt / equity | 4.09 | ROA | 1.1% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 4.3% | Payout ratio | -26% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 5 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 45: Weak
With a Wheel Score of 45 Dana Incorporated sits in the Weak band, capped at 45 because the engine files it as Speculative / Distressed. The parts - Value 14/25, Health 13/20, Moat 3/15, Premium 20/20, Stability 14/20 - show where: Moat (3/15) scores lowest.
Implied volatility is 56% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% range the Wheel Score pays full marks for: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is 7,712 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 1.2M shares a day on a market cap of $3.1B, with a beta of 2.03 - a high beta, so the stock tends to move more than the market and a strike can be gapped through; the Stability part of the Wheel Score gives that 14 of 20.
| Part | Points | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 14 / 25 | 3% margin of safety | |
| Health | 13 / 20 | Piotroski 6/9 | |
| Moat | 3 / 15 | moat 2.3/10 | |
| Premium | 20 / 20 | implied volatility 56% | |
| Stability | 14 / 20 | 1.2M shares/day, $3.1B cap, beta 2.03 |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls; it is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. The walkthrough lesson shows how the score fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
Dana Incorporated reports earnings on 28 Oct 2026 (before the open) - inside the 14-day window the Sunday Scan avoids, because a put sold now would carry the report's gap risk.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Auto - Parts
The 12 companies below are the closest to Dana Incorporated by market cap within the Auto - Parts industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATMU Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. | 43.98 | 37.08 | -19% | 65Good | $3.6B |
| DORM Dorman Products, Inc. | 123.63 | 160.86 | +23% | 84Prime | $3.7B |
| QS QuantumScape Corporation | 3.93 | 0.2596 | -1414% | 34Weak | $2.4B |
| VC Visteon Corporation | 86.61 | 175.91 | +51% | 76Good | $2.3B |
| GNTX Gentex Corporation | 21.11 | 35.91 | +41% | 93Prime | $4.4B |
| GTX Garrett Motion Inc. | 24.45 | 27.54 | +11% | 76Good | $4.6B |
| PHIN PHINIA Inc. | 55.84 | 77.57 | +28% | 83Prime | $2.0B |
| HSAI Hesai Group | 13.36 | 27.57 | +52% | 77Good | $1.7B |
| LKQ LKQ Corporation | 22.36 | 35.96 | +38% | 82Prime | $5.7B |
| LEA Lear Corporation | 121.49 | 231.62 | +48% | 79Good | $6.0B |
| MBLY Mobileye Global Inc. | 7.43 | 6.31 | -18% | 45Weak | $6.3B |
| ADNT Adient plc | 18.18 | 43.42 | +58% | 77Good | $1.4B |
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Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about DAN
Is DAN undervalued right now?
Not meaningfully: at 28.49 the stock trades within a few percent of the GLS average fair value of 29.24 (2.6% below fair value, data as of 16 Oct 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of DAN and what does it mean?
DAN scores 45 out of 100 (Weak). The Wheel Score blends the margin of safety (25 points), Piotroski health (20), the GLS moat (15), the option premium on offer (20) and trading stability (20) into one number that ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned. 80 and above is Prime, 65-79 Good, 50-64 Fair, under 50 Weak.
What is the GLS fair value for DAN?
29.24 per share as of 16 Oct 2026 - the simple average of the 2 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Dana Incorporated report earnings next?
The next earnings report is due on 28 Oct 2026 (before the open), 12 days from the data date of 16 Oct 2026. The Calendars page lists every upcoming report with its time of day.
Does DAN have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 338 listed contracts with 7,712 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 56% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.