Stock fact sheet · data as of
Matador Resources Company (MTDR): fair value, margin of safety and Wheel Score
Ticker symbol MTDR · Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · United States · Value
Is MTDR undervalued?
At 50.37 (close of 5 Nov 2026), MTDR trades 30% under the GLS average fair value of 71.83. 5 of the 9 models that produced a value land above the price. A discount of this size counts as a positive margin of safety in every GLS scan; whether it is enough depends on the rest of the picture - the health score, the moat and the option premium below.
There is a wide gap between GLS Growth (18.34) and 10 Cap (207.79). When the models are this far apart the "fair value" is really a range, and the margin of safety above should be read with that range in mind.
Ranked against every other company we cover, MTDR is clearly cheaper than it is fast-growing, so the nightly engine files it under Value (value score 71, growth score 35, out of 100).
Nine valuation models for MTDR
Each model turns the latest filed numbers into a value per share; the GLS fair value is the simple average of the ones that produce a positive number. The last two rows are shown for reference and never enter the average. The Quote page lets you switch any model off and add your own margin of safety.
| Model | Value | vs price | What it measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | 34.40 | -32% | Present value of the projected free cash flows, discounted at the cost of capital |
| Graham Number | 79.93 | +59% | The most a defensive investor pays for the earnings and book value per share |
| Graham Growth | 102.48 | +103% | Graham's growth formula: EPS × (8.5 + 2 × growth), adjusted for bond yields |
| Lynch | 27.71 | -45% | EPS × the earnings growth rate (PEG of 1), growth capped at 25% |
| GLS Growth | 18.34 | -64% | EPS compounded ten years at the blended growth rate, discounted back at 15% a year |
| 10 Cap | 207.79 | +313% | Owner's earnings (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) capitalised at 10% |
| Payback Time | 89.19 | +77% | Eight years of compounded free cash flow: the price at which the business pays for itself |
| DDM | 22.07 | -56% | Dividend discount model: next year's dividend ÷ (10% − 3% growth); needs a dividend |
| EPV | 64.57 | +28% | Earnings power value: current EPS capitalised at 9% with no growth |
| Zombie (liquidation) | -40.89 | -181% | Current assets less all liabilities, per share: the balance-sheet floor. Not in the average |
| Wall St target | 70.00 | +39% | Analysts' average 12-month price target. Not in the average |
Quality and financial health
Matador Resources Company scores 5 of 9 on the Piotroski F-score: a middling result that falls one point short of the "Piotroski 6 or more" Wheel Trade Filter. Some of the nine tests on profitability, leverage and efficiency are failed, so the accounts are worth a look before selling a put on the name. On durability MTDR scores 6.0/10 on the GLS Moat - a middle reading; the Moat Score tab on the Quote page's Financials view shows which of the four parts hold it back.
Returns on capital are moderate - ROIC 8.2%, ROE 13.4%, ROA 6.4% - with debt at 0.63 times equity and a free-cash-flow yield of 9.2%.
The dividend yield is 2.98% at a payout ratio of 26%; for a wheel trader holding assigned shares the dividend adds to the covered-call premium, and the ex-dividend date is worth knowing before a call is sold. Revenue comes mainly from Oil Revenues 93%, Natural Gas, Midstream 4%, Natural Gas, Sales 3% (quarter Q2 FY2026).
Institutional ownership scores 10/10, insider activity 10/10 and Congressional trading 5/10 on the GLS smart-money scales.
| Piotroski F-score | 5 / 9 | ROIC | 8.2% |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLS Moat | 6.0 / 10 | ROE | 13.4% |
| Debt / equity | 0.63 | ROA | 6.4% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 9.2% | Payout ratio | 26% |
| Institutions | 10 / 10 | Insiders · Congress | 10 · 5 / 10 |
Wheel Score 54: Fair
A Wheel Score of 54 keeps Matador Resources Company under 70, the mark only a stock that passes all 9 Wheel Trade Filters can reach: it fails filter 4, financially healthy - Piotroski 5/9 (under 6). The parts: value strong, premium strong, moat good, health fair, red flags strong, option trading good, stability good.
Implied volatility is 45% on the near-the-money contracts 20-60 days out - inside the 35-60% sweet spot the Wheel Score rewards most: enough premium to be worth selling, not so much that the risk is unpaid. Chain open interest is 30,193 contracts across all expiries - enough for the wheel at normal size.
Volume runs at 3.5M shares a day on a market cap of $6.2B, with a beta of 0.79 - a low beta, so day-to-day moves are smaller than the market's; the Stability part of the Wheel Score rates that good.
| Filter | Wheel Trade Filter | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Options that actually trade | Passes | Listed options with 1,000+ contracts of open interest and 100+ traded a day |
| 2 | A real business, not a gamble | Passes | Profitable over the last twelve months - not a speculative stock, fund or note |
| 3 | Below fair value | Passes | Trading below the nine-model average fair value (margin of safety above 0) |
| 4 | Financially healthy | Fails | Piotroski 5/9 (under 6) |
| 5 | Can repay its debt | Passes | Long-term debt repaid from 3 years of operating cash flow or less (6 for real estate and utilities; banks and insurers are not judged on it) |
| 6 | No serious red flags | Passes | Red Flags score 60 or more out of 100 (earnings, margins, debt, analysts, filings and price checked the same way for every stock) |
| 7 | A premium worth selling | Passes | Implied volatility 25-80% (enough premium, not a lottery ticket) |
| 8 | Big enough | Passes | Market cap $1 billion or more |
| 9 | Not a penny stock | Passes | Share price $5 or more |
| How it ranks | Rating | From | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | Strong | 30% below fair value | |
| Premium | Strong | implied volatility 45% | |
| Moat | Good | moat 6.0/10 | |
| Health | Fair | Piotroski 5/9 | |
| Red Flags | Strong | Red Flags score 90/100 | |
| Option trading | Good | 2,164 contracts a day, 30,193 open interest | |
| Stability | Good | beta 0.79, $6.2B company |
The Wheel Score ranks ~7,400 US stocks for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls: a stock must pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters to score 70, and the score then ranks the ones that pass; the Sunday Scan is the top 10. It is updated nightly and is not a recommendation. How the Wheel Score works · the walkthrough lesson shows how it fits into a trade, start to finish.
Upcoming events
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for MTDR in the nightly calendar. The shares go ex-dividend on 10 Nov 2026 (0.4375 per share), so a covered call sold before then carries a small early-assignment risk around that date.
Analysts downgraded MTDR 1 time in the last 30 days with no upgrades; the latest action was new coverage by Scotiabank on 14 Oct 2026.
Earnings, dividend, IPO, split and economic calendars for the whole market, filterable to your watchlists.
Similar stocks in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
The 12 companies below are the closest to Matador Resources Company by market cap within the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry, each with its own fact sheet; the Compare page puts up to eight of them side by side.
| Stock | Close | Fair value | MoS | Wheel | Mkt cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation | 23.37 | 29.36 | +20% | 49Weak | $6.3B |
| VIST Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. | 62.02 | 126.46 | +51% | 53Fair | $6.5B |
| CHRD Chord Energy Corporation | 132.33 | 276.90 | +52% | 82Good | $7.2B |
| LB LandBridge Company LLC | 69.26 | 105.34 | +34% | 44Weak | $5.3B |
| SM SM Energy Company | 31.06 | 36.65 | +15% | 78Good | $7.4B |
| MUR Murphy Oil Corporation | 35.94 | 69.21 | +48% | 83Good | $5.2B |
| CNX CNX Resources Corporation | 35.93 | 143.89 | +75% | 82Good | $5.1B |
| CRC California Resources Corp | 48.34 | 75.59 | +36% | 44Weak | $4.3B |
| CRK Comstock Resources, Inc. | 13.38 | 39.00 | +66% | 48Weak | $3.9B |
| CRGY Crescent Energy Company | 11.73 | 15.00 | +22% | 47Weak | $3.9B |
| AR Antero Resources Corporation | 37.43 | 57.47 | +35% | 82Good | $11.5B |
| RRC Range Resources Corporation | 52.10 | 47.51 | -10% | 44Weak | $12.2B |
Scan the whole market the same way
A free GLS Equity account gets you nightly fair value and the Wheel Score on ~7,400 US stocks, a watchlist, the scanner preview and the Sunday Scan - the top 10 stocks that pass all 9 Wheel Trade Filters, emailed every week. Pro adds the full put and call scanners, unlimited watchlists with alerts and the trade journal.
Start free See the Sunday ScanQuestions about MTDR
Is MTDR undervalued right now?
By the GLS models, moderately: at 50.37 the stock trades 30% below the average fair value of 71.83 (data as of 5 Nov 2026).
What is the Wheel Score of MTDR and what does it mean?
MTDR scores 54 out of 100 (Fair) - it fails Wheel Trade Filter 4. The Wheel Score ranks stocks for the wheel strategy - selling cash-secured puts, then covered calls if assigned - in two parts: the 9 pass/fail Wheel Trade Filters (busy options, a real business, below fair value, Piotroski 6 or more, debt it can repay, a Red Flags score of 60 or more, implied volatility of 25-80%, a $1 billion company, $5 a share) and a ranking of how strongly a stock passes on value, premium, moat, health, red flags, option trading and stability. A stock that fails any filter stays under 70; 70-84 is Good, 85 and above is Prime. The Sunday Scan is the top 10 that pass, sorted by Wheel Score.
What is the GLS fair value for MTDR?
71.83 per share as of 5 Nov 2026 - the simple average of the 9 valuation models (out of nine: DCF, Graham Number, Graham Growth, Lynch, GLS Growth, 10 Cap, Payback Time, DDM and EPV) that produced a positive value. The models run every night on the latest filings; the Quote page lets you switch any of them off and add a margin of safety of your own.
When does Matador Resources Company report earnings next?
No upcoming earnings date is recorded for MTDR in our calendar as of 5 Nov 2026; the Calendars page is refreshed every morning.
Does MTDR have listed options, and how liquid are they?
Yes. The nightly snapshot found 100 listed contracts with 30,193 open interest across all expiries and implied volatility of 45% on the near-the-money contracts. The Options scanner lists the cash-secured put and covered call set-ups with premium and annualised yield worked out.